Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#9
Expected Predictive Rating+16.9#10
Pace64.2#249
Improvement-6.0#338

Offense
Total Offense+12.4#2
Improvement-4.3#333

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#77
Improvement-1.6#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 2.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 88.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round84.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen55.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight27.8% n/a n/a
Final Four14.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.8% n/a n/a
National Champion2.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 332   IUPUI W 91-54 99%     1 - 0 +20.1 +5.8 +14.1
  Nov 13, 2012 260   Cleveland St. W 77-47 98%     2 - 0 +21.0 +6.7 +17.4
  Nov 21, 2012 8   Pittsburgh W 67-62 49%     3 - 0 +21.4 +9.8 +12.2
  Nov 23, 2012 25   Kansas St. W 71-57 63%     4 - 0 +26.6 +11.7 +16.7
  Nov 27, 2012 29   North Carolina St. W 79-72 75%     5 - 0 +15.9 +13.9 +2.6
  Dec 01, 2012 159   @ Bradley W 74-66 87%     6 - 0 +11.8 +10.0 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2012 147   Western Michigan W 73-41 94%     7 - 0 +29.9 +6.8 +26.4
  Dec 08, 2012 74   Arkansas W 80-67 87%     8 - 0 +16.7 +12.1 +5.0
  Dec 11, 2012 343   Binghamton W 67-39 99.6%    9 - 0 +9.2 +1.6 +13.1
  Dec 15, 2012 121   West Virginia W 81-66 88%     10 - 0 +18.1 +11.2 +7.3
  Dec 20, 2012 236   Eastern Michigan W 93-54 98%     11 - 0 +31.4 +20.0 +11.0
  Dec 29, 2012 250   Central Michigan W 88-73 98%     12 - 0 +6.5 +8.2 -1.4
  Jan 03, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 94-66 83%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +34.0 +23.3 +10.5
  Jan 06, 2013 36   Iowa W 95-67 78%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +36.2 +30.3 +6.5
  Jan 09, 2013 123   Nebraska W 62-47 93%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +14.6 +2.7 +14.9
  Jan 13, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. L 53-56 36%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +16.9 -2.3 +18.7
  Jan 17, 2013 27   @ Minnesota W 83-75 52%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +23.6 +20.4 +3.4
  Jan 24, 2013 73   Purdue W 68-53 87%     17 - 1 5 - 1 +18.8 +9.1 +11.8
  Jan 27, 2013 48   @ Illinois W 74-60 61%     18 - 1 6 - 1 +27.2 +10.5 +17.3
  Jan 30, 2013 125   Northwestern W 68-46 93%     19 - 1 7 - 1 +21.5 +18.0 +11.0
  Feb 02, 2013 3   @ Indiana L 73-81 25%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +15.3 +7.5 +7.9
  Feb 05, 2013 7   Ohio St. W 76-74 OT 60%     20 - 2 8 - 2 +15.4 +16.0 -0.4
  Feb 09, 2013 14   @ Wisconsin L 62-65 OT 41%     20 - 3 8 - 3 +15.4 +3.3 +12.0
  Feb 12, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. L 52-75 40%     20 - 4 8 - 4 -4.2 -6.9 +0.9
  Feb 17, 2013 143   Penn St. W 79-71 94%     21 - 4 9 - 4 +6.3 +10.0 -3.3
  Feb 24, 2013 48   Illinois W 71-58 81%     22 - 4 10 - 4 +19.8 +8.7 +12.4
  Feb 27, 2013 143   @ Penn St. L 78-84 85%     22 - 5 10 - 5 -1.2 +8.9 -10.2
  Mar 03, 2013 10   Michigan St. W 58-57 64%     23 - 5 11 - 5 +13.3 -2.7 +16.1
  Mar 06, 2013 73   @ Purdue W 80-75 71%     24 - 5 12 - 5 +15.3 +12.9 +2.3
  Mar 10, 2013 3   Indiana L 71-72 47%     24 - 6 12 - 6 +15.8 +5.2 +10.6
  Mar 14, 2013 143   Penn St. W 83-66 91%     25 - 6 +18.6 +20.0 +0.3
  Mar 15, 2013 14   Wisconsin L 59-68 54%     25 - 7 +6.1 -1.9 +8.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.5 2.4 40.1 45.6 11.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.5 2.4 40.1 45.6 11.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%