Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#14
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#16
Pace59.7#314
Improvement+1.9#93

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#78
Improvement-4.0#326

Defense
Total Defense+11.4#2
Improvement+5.9#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 46.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round75.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen45.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.0% n/a n/a
Final Four9.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.0% n/a n/a
National Champion1.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 280   SE Louisiana W 87-47 98%     1 - 0 +29.4 +20.6 +13.7
  Nov 14, 2012 2   @ Florida L 56-74 21%     1 - 1 +5.5 +1.2 +2.3
  Nov 18, 2012 255   Cornell W 73-40 98%     2 - 1 +24.4 -9.9 +32.5
  Nov 20, 2012 338   Presbyterian W 88-43 99%     3 - 1 +27.2 +13.8 +18.8
  Nov 23, 2012 15   Creighton L 74-84 52%     3 - 2 +4.5 +5.7 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2012 74   Arkansas W 77-70 78%     4 - 2 +14.0 +12.2 +2.2
  Nov 28, 2012 39   Virginia L 54-60 76%     4 - 3 +1.9 -0.2 +0.7
  Dec 02, 2012 57   California W 81-56 82%     5 - 3 +30.2 +9.9 +19.7
  Dec 04, 2012 322   Nebraska Omaha W 86-40 99%     6 - 3 +31.8 +2.6 +30.0
  Dec 08, 2012 22   @ Marquette L 50-60 46%     6 - 4 +6.1 -13.5 +19.0
  Dec 12, 2012 126   Green Bay W 65-54 92%     7 - 4 +10.4 +0.5 +11.3
  Dec 22, 2012 292   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-53 98%     8 - 4 +9.4 +4.9 +7.0
  Dec 29, 2012 287   Samford W 87-51 98%     9 - 4 +24.7 +18.8 +10.5
  Jan 03, 2013 143   Penn St. W 60-51 93%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +7.3 -6.5 +14.9
  Jan 06, 2013 123   @ Nebraska W 47-41 80%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +12.1 -11.5 +24.9
  Jan 12, 2013 48   Illinois W 74-51 79%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +29.8 +16.8 +16.9
  Jan 15, 2013 3   @ Indiana W 64-59 22%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +28.3 +9.9 +19.2
  Jan 19, 2013 36   @ Iowa L 66-70 52%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +10.6 +7.7 +2.6
  Jan 22, 2013 10   Michigan St. L 47-49 61%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +10.3 -8.1 +17.9
  Jan 26, 2013 27   Minnesota W 45-44 72%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +10.1 -8.7 +19.2
  Jan 29, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. L 49-58 32%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +10.9 -0.1 +8.5
  Feb 03, 2013 48   @ Illinois W 74-68 57%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +19.2 +6.9 +12.3
  Feb 06, 2013 36   Iowa W 74-70 2OT 75%     16 - 7 7 - 3 +12.2 -5.6 +17.0
  Feb 09, 2013 9   Michigan W 65-62 OT 59%     17 - 7 8 - 3 +15.9 -4.6 +20.5
  Feb 14, 2013 27   @ Minnesota L 53-58 OT 48%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +10.6 -7.0 +17.1
  Feb 17, 2013 7   Ohio St. W 71-49 57%     18 - 8 9 - 4 +35.4 +16.3 +22.6
  Feb 20, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 69-41 81%     19 - 8 10 - 4 +34.0 +15.7 +25.0
  Feb 26, 2013 123   Nebraska W 77-46 92%     20 - 8 11 - 4 +30.6 +10.6 +22.2
  Mar 03, 2013 73   Purdue L 56-69 85%     20 - 9 11 - 5 -9.2 -8.9 -1.2
  Mar 07, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. L 43-58 36%     20 - 10 11 - 6 +3.8 -15.7 +18.0
  Mar 10, 2013 143   @ Penn St. W 63-60 83%     21 - 10 12 - 6 +7.8 +3.0 +5.3
  Mar 15, 2013 9   Michigan W 68-59 46%     22 - 10 +25.1 -0.6 +25.8
  Mar 16, 2013 3   Indiana W 68-56 32%     23 - 10 +32.0 +8.2 +24.9
  Mar 17, 2013 7   Ohio St. L 43-50 44%     23 - 11 +9.6 -9.8 +17.6
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.5 0.0 0.1 9.7 37.1 43.8 8.9 0.4 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.5 0.0 0.1 9.7 37.1 43.8 8.9 0.4 100.0%