Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#31
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#26
Pace75.9#31
Improvement-1.6#242

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#108
Improvement-3.7#322

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#7
Improvement+2.1#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 3.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 86.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round57.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.4% n/a n/a
Final Four2.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2012 307   Northern Arizona W 92-54 98%     1 - 0 +25.3 -2.2 +21.4
  Nov 17, 2012 213   Jacksonville St. W 77-58 94%     2 - 0 +13.1 +0.1 +13.1
  Nov 23, 2012 41   Oregon L 79-83 68%     2 - 1 +3.0 -0.7 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2012 35   Iowa St. W 82-70 52%     3 - 1 +23.5 +1.0 +21.1
  Nov 28, 2012 135   UC Irvine W 85-57 88%     4 - 1 +26.9 +13.3 +13.7
  Dec 01, 2012 192   Hawaii W 77-63 93%     5 - 1 +9.5 -7.7 +15.8
  Dec 04, 2012 253   @ Portland W 68-60 90%     6 - 1 +5.9 -10.3 +15.4
  Dec 09, 2012 57   @ California W 76-75 51%     7 - 1 +12.7 +5.4 +7.3
  Dec 17, 2012 110   @ UTEP W 62-60 68%     8 - 1 +9.2 -2.4 +11.7
  Dec 19, 2012 64   Northern Iowa W 73-59 76%     9 - 1 +18.5 +5.6 +13.3
  Dec 22, 2012 120   Canisius W 89-74 87%     10 - 1 +14.9 +6.9 +7.2
  Dec 29, 2012 26   @ North Carolina L 73-79 35%     10 - 2 +9.8 +4.4 +5.6
  Jan 03, 2013 290   Chicago St. W 74-52 97%     11 - 2 +10.5 -3.2 +12.9
  Jan 05, 2013 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 84-63 96%     12 - 2 +13.4 -1.2 +12.2
  Jan 09, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 60-65 31%     12 - 3 0 - 1 +12.0 -5.9 +18.2
  Jan 12, 2013 85   Air Force W 76-71 OT 82%     13 - 3 1 - 1 +7.4 -3.9 +11.1
  Jan 16, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. W 82-75 36%     14 - 3 2 - 1 +22.6 +14.6 +7.5
  Jan 19, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. L 61-66 35%     14 - 4 2 - 2 +10.9 -3.1 +13.6
  Jan 24, 2013 89   Wyoming W 62-50 82%     15 - 4 3 - 2 +14.2 +7.5 +9.7
  Jan 29, 2013 149   Nevada W 66-54 90%     16 - 4 4 - 2 +9.6 -7.8 +17.7
  Feb 02, 2013 47   @ Boise St. L 72-77 45%     16 - 5 4 - 3 +8.3 +2.7 +5.7
  Feb 06, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. L 55-64 65%     16 - 6 4 - 4 -1.0 -7.1 +5.6
  Feb 09, 2013 16   New Mexico W 64-55 55%     17 - 6 5 - 4 +19.6 -4.3 +23.6
  Feb 13, 2013 85   @ Air Force L 56-71 62%     17 - 7 5 - 5 -6.1 -12.7 +5.4
  Feb 16, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 72-70 61%     18 - 7 6 - 5 +11.1 +0.4 +10.6
  Feb 20, 2013 24   Colorado St. W 61-59 60%     19 - 7 7 - 5 +11.4 -6.3 +17.9
  Feb 23, 2013 89   @ Wyoming W 65-42 63%     20 - 7 8 - 5 +31.6 +2.5 +30.8
  Mar 02, 2013 149   @ Nevada W 80-63 77%     21 - 7 9 - 5 +21.1 +11.3 +10.6
  Mar 05, 2013 47   Boise St. W 68-64 69%     22 - 7 10 - 5 +10.8 -2.0 +13.0
  Mar 09, 2013 99   Fresno St. L 52-61 84%     22 - 8 10 - 6 -7.5 -10.5 +2.1
  Mar 13, 2013 85   Air Force W 72-56 82%     23 - 8 +18.4 +0.7 +18.9
  Mar 15, 2013 24   Colorado St. W 75-65 47%     24 - 8 +22.7 +0.0 +22.0
  Mar 16, 2013 16   New Mexico L 56-63 43%     24 - 9 +6.8 -1.1 +6.9
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.1 3.3 31.3 51.5 13.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.1 3.3 31.3 51.5 13.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%