Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#36
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#28
Pace74.6#46
Improvement-4.1#321

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#56
Improvement-2.4#290

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#42
Improvement-1.8#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% n/a n/a
First Round89.0% n/a n/a
Second Round43.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2013 292   Austin Peay W 95-69 97%     1 - 0 +14.7 -2.1 +11.9
  Nov 19, 2013 15   @ Oklahoma St. L 80-101 26%     1 - 1 -3.4 +0.5 +0.2
  Nov 23, 2013 306   Nicholls St. W 98-59 97%     2 - 1 +26.6 +7.1 +14.7
  Nov 28, 2013 180   Siena W 87-60 87%     3 - 1 +26.0 +11.5 +13.1
  Nov 29, 2013 63   LSU W 76-69 61%     4 - 1 +15.2 +2.8 +11.9
  Dec 01, 2013 15   Oklahoma St. W 73-68 36%     5 - 1 +19.8 +12.9 +7.3
  Dec 07, 2013 188   Northwestern St. W 96-76 92%     6 - 1 +15.8 +0.6 +11.6
  Dec 13, 2013 222   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-59 94%     7 - 1 +7.8 -2.9 +10.4
  Dec 17, 2013 3   Florida L 75-77 24%     7 - 2 +16.3 +14.3 +2.0
  Dec 21, 2013 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-65 94%     8 - 2 +5.1 -1.4 +6.7
  Dec 28, 2013 305   Jackson St. W 75-61 97%     9 - 2 +1.6 -5.0 +5.9
  Dec 31, 2013 177   @ South Florida W 88-73 81%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +16.9 +12.4 +3.6
  Jan 04, 2014 26   Cincinnati L 53-69 52%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -5.5 -11.3 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2014 1   @ Louisville W 73-67 10%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +31.2 +12.0 +19.1
  Jan 11, 2014 146   @ Temple W 79-69 74%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +14.3 +2.8 +11.3
  Jan 16, 2014 25   Connecticut L 73-83 52%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +0.6 +13.3 -13.4
  Jan 23, 2014 127   Houston W 82-59 85%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +22.9 +2.0 +19.9
  Jan 26, 2014 177   South Florida W 80-58 91%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +18.3 +7.1 +11.3
  Jan 29, 2014 148   @ Central Florida W 69-59 75%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +14.2 +3.2 +11.9
  Feb 01, 2014 32   @ SMU L 72-87 37%     15 - 5 6 - 3 -0.5 +2.6 -1.8
  Feb 04, 2014 166   Rutgers W 101-69 90%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +29.3 +18.9 +8.2
  Feb 08, 2014 23   Gonzaga W 60-54 51%     17 - 5 +16.8 +3.3 +14.5
  Feb 12, 2014 148   Central Florida W 76-70 87%     18 - 5 8 - 3 +4.6 +3.9 +0.9
  Feb 15, 2014 25   @ Connecticut L 81-86 OT 31%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +11.2 +10.2 +1.6
  Feb 20, 2014 166   @ Rutgers W 64-59 78%     19 - 6 9 - 4 +7.9 -5.9 +14.0
  Feb 22, 2014 146   Temple W 82-79 OT 87%     20 - 6 10 - 4 +1.7 -2.4 +3.8
  Feb 27, 2014 127   @ Houston L 68-77 70%     20 - 7 10 - 5 -3.5 -3.6 -0.1
  Mar 01, 2014 1   Louisville W 72-66 21%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +25.6 +7.6 +17.9
  Mar 06, 2014 26   @ Cincinnati L 84-97 31%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +3.1 +17.6 -13.7
  Mar 08, 2014 32   SMU W 67-58 58%     22 - 8 12 - 6 +18.0 -2.1 +19.7
  Mar 13, 2014 25   Connecticut L 53-72 41%     22 - 9 -5.6 -8.7 +2.4
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 89.5% 89.5% 8.7 0.0 0.4 1.8 9.8 25.6 28.8 17.8 5.3 0.1 10.5 89.5%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 89.5% 0.0% 89.5% 8.7 0.0 0.4 1.8 9.8 25.6 28.8 17.8 5.3 0.1 10.5 89.5%