Pre-tourney Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#52
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#34
Pace80.5#11
Improvement-6.9#350

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#103
Improvement-4.0#328

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#34
Improvement-2.9#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 5.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.5% n/a n/a
Second Round43.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2013 130   Boston College W 86-73 74%     1 - 0 +15.6 +4.7 +10.2
  Nov 12, 2013 63   LSU W 92-90 65%     2 - 0 +7.4 +6.0 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2013 182   Youngstown St. W 85-69 89%     3 - 0 +12.2 -5.3 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2013 49   Nebraska W 96-90 49%     4 - 0 +15.8 +16.2 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2013 31   New Mexico W 81-65 41%     5 - 0 +27.9 +6.3 +20.1
  Nov 24, 2013 54   Clemson W 62-56 50%     6 - 0 +15.3 -2.5 +17.9
  Dec 03, 2013 126   @ Eastern Michigan W 69-57 65%     7 - 0 +17.6 +6.3 +11.5
  Dec 07, 2013 47   BYU W 105-96 47%     8 - 0 +19.2 +14.2 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2013 196   Northern Illinois W 80-54 90%     9 - 0 +21.4 +15.5 +7.2
  Dec 18, 2013 125   @ Ohio W 83-71 64%     10 - 0 +17.8 +12.0 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2013 43   Florida St. L 55-60 46%     10 - 1 +5.5 -18.2 +24.3
  Dec 28, 2013 44   Providence W 69-67 OT 57%     11 - 1 +9.6 -7.4 +16.9
  Jan 04, 2014 208   Miami (OH) W 73-65 91%     12 - 1 +2.7 +1.4 +1.5
  Jan 08, 2014 57   Saint Joseph's W 66-62 62%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +10.3 -0.1 +10.7
  Jan 11, 2014 92   St. Bonaventure W 73-68 74%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +7.9 -1.6 +9.4
  Jan 15, 2014 137   @ George Mason W 88-87 67%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +5.8 +7.9 -2.2
  Jan 18, 2014 214   @ Elon W 84-74 82%     16 - 1 +9.9 +8.2 +1.4
  Jan 22, 2014 95   @ Richmond L 55-58 56%     16 - 2 3 - 1 +4.9 -4.9 +9.4
  Jan 26, 2014 203   Fordham W 90-52 91%     17 - 2 4 - 1 +32.8 +9.1 +22.9
  Jan 29, 2014 92   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-78 54%     17 - 3 4 - 2 -4.6 -7.7 +3.7
  Feb 01, 2014 57   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-73 40%     17 - 4 4 - 3 +6.9 +1.5 +5.4
  Feb 05, 2014 106   La Salle W 79-67 78%     18 - 4 5 - 3 +13.3 +7.9 +5.2
  Feb 09, 2014 111   @ Rhode Island W 73-68 60%     19 - 4 6 - 3 +11.7 +5.3 +6.4
  Feb 12, 2014 137   George Mason L 80-91 83%     19 - 5 6 - 4 -11.8 -2.5 -7.9
  Feb 15, 2014 50   @ George Washington W 67-61 38%     20 - 5 7 - 4 +18.6 -1.5 +19.8
  Feb 21, 2014 22   Virginia Commonwealth W 80-75 43%     21 - 5 8 - 4 +16.2 +1.2 +14.0
  Feb 26, 2014 111   Rhode Island W 70-67 78%     22 - 5 9 - 4 +4.1 +3.4 +0.9
  Mar 01, 2014 60   @ Dayton L 79-86 42%     22 - 6 9 - 5 +4.5 +8.0 -3.2
  Mar 05, 2014 149   @ Duquesne W 78-74 69%     23 - 6 10 - 5 +8.2 +3.4 +4.8
  Mar 09, 2014 42   Saint Louis L 62-64 56%     23 - 7 10 - 6 +5.8 -5.0 +10.9
  Mar 13, 2014 111   Rhode Island W 65-61 70%     24 - 7 +7.9 -5.1 +13.0
  Mar 14, 2014 50   George Washington L 77-85 49%     24 - 8 +1.8 +0.6 +2.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 99.5% 99.5% 7.7 0.2 5.7 30.4 48.9 13.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 99.5%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 7.7 0.2 5.7 30.4 48.9 13.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 99.5%