Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#44
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#33
Pace64.7#260
Improvement+2.7#72

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#27
Improvement+5.7#4

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#81
Improvement-3.0#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round41.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 130   Boston College W 82-78 OT 84%     1 - 0 +3.8 -5.7 +9.1
  Nov 13, 2013 162   Brown W 73-69 88%     2 - 0 +1.5 -1.6 +2.9
  Nov 16, 2013 209   Marist W 93-48 92%     3 - 0 +39.6 +17.6 +21.7
  Nov 18, 2013 89   Vermont W 70-49 76%     4 - 0 +24.2 +5.9 +20.3
  Nov 22, 2013 105   Vanderbilt W 67-60 73%     5 - 0 +11.0 -1.4 +12.4
  Nov 24, 2013 106   La Salle W 71-63 73%     6 - 0 +12.0 +4.3 +8.0
  Nov 25, 2013 48   Maryland L 52-56 52%     6 - 1 +5.9 -14.4 +20.3
  Nov 29, 2013 271   Fairfield W 78-69 95%     7 - 1 +0.3 +3.4 -3.2
  Dec 01, 2013 19   Kentucky L 65-79 35%     7 - 2 +0.3 +5.6 -6.7
  Dec 05, 2013 111   @ Rhode Island W 50-49 64%     8 - 2 +7.7 -3.4 +11.4
  Dec 17, 2013 175   Yale W 76-74 90%     9 - 2 -1.4 +12.8 -14.0
  Dec 21, 2013 343   Maine W 94-70 99%     10 - 2 +6.5 +8.5 -2.9
  Dec 28, 2013 52   @ Massachusetts L 67-69 OT 43%     10 - 3 +10.2 -3.6 +14.0
  Dec 31, 2013 70   Seton Hall L 80-81 2OT 72%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +3.5 -2.1 +5.7
  Jan 05, 2014 5   @ Villanova L 61-91 18%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -9.8 -1.0 -9.0
  Jan 08, 2014 56   Georgetown W 70-52 65%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +24.5 +4.7 +21.1
  Jan 16, 2014 35   @ St. John's W 84-83 2OT 37%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +14.9 +10.2 +4.6
  Jan 18, 2014 9   Creighton W 81-68 37%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +26.9 +20.6 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2014 82   Butler W 65-56 74%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +12.6 +10.0 +4.6
  Jan 25, 2014 40   Xavier W 81-72 60%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +16.9 +13.9 +3.3
  Jan 30, 2014 61   @ Marquette L 50-61 46%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +0.4 -12.8 +12.3
  Feb 01, 2014 154   @ DePaul W 77-72 74%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +8.7 +4.3 +4.3
  Feb 04, 2014 35   St. John's L 76-86 58%     16 - 7 6 - 4 -1.7 +11.5 -13.4
  Feb 08, 2014 40   @ Xavier L 53-59 38%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +7.5 -4.7 +11.1
  Feb 10, 2014 56   @ Georgetown L 71-83 44%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +0.1 +5.1 -5.3
  Feb 15, 2014 154   DePaul W 84-61 87%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +21.1 +14.7 +7.8
  Feb 18, 2014 5   Villanova L 79-82 2OT 34%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +11.7 +5.7 +6.2
  Feb 23, 2014 82   @ Butler W 87-81 55%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +15.2 +27.6 -11.9
  Feb 28, 2014 70   @ Seton Hall W 74-69 52%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +15.0 +10.0 +5.3
  Mar 04, 2014 61   Marquette W 81-80 2OT 67%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +6.8 -1.0 +7.7
  Mar 08, 2014 9   @ Creighton L 73-88 20%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +4.5 +5.3 -1.2
  Mar 13, 2014 35   St. John's W 79-74 47%     21 - 11 +16.1 +10.5 +5.4
  Mar 14, 2014 70   Seton Hall W 80-74 62%     22 - 11 +13.2 +14.4 -0.9
  Mar 15, 2014 9   Creighton W 65-58 27%     23 - 11 +23.7 +8.1 +17.1
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.1 19.9 57.0 15.4 0.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.1 19.9 57.0 15.4 0.0