Pre-tourney Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#17
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#24
Pace63.3#288
Improvement-5.4#338

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#18
Improvement-2.5#295

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#32
Improvement-2.9#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 6.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round95.9% n/a n/a
Second Round60.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen24.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.9% n/a n/a
Final Four5.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 280   Savannah St. W 88-55 98%     1 - 0 +23.5 +13.8 +8.6
  Nov 12, 2013 123   Fresno St. W 75-54 90%     2 - 0 +21.3 +0.7 +20.8
  Nov 17, 2013 332   Howard W 84-52 99%     3 - 0 +16.2 +17.2 +2.3
  Nov 20, 2013 252   Lehigh W 77-58 97%     4 - 0 +11.4 +16.3 -1.7
  Nov 25, 2013 71   Texas Tech W 76-53 76%     5 - 0 +30.2 +14.5 +18.5
  Nov 26, 2013 34   Stanford W 88-67 61%     6 - 0 +32.6 +23.3 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2013 149   Duquesne W 84-67 88%     7 - 0 +18.4 +6.7 +11.2
  Dec 03, 2013 76   Penn St. W 78-69 84%     8 - 0 +13.0 +6.4 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2013 174   Loyola Marymount W 85-68 94%     9 - 0 +13.6 +8.3 +4.9
  Dec 14, 2013 182   Youngstown St. W 91-73 95%     10 - 0 +14.2 +13.1 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2013 26   Cincinnati L 43-44 54%     10 - 1 +12.3 -3.5 +15.5
  Dec 21, 2013 178   Cal Poly W 73-56 94%     11 - 1 +13.3 +6.0 +8.9
  Dec 31, 2013 193   Albany W 58-46 95%     12 - 1 +7.5 -7.5 +16.7
  Jan 04, 2014 66   @ North Carolina St. W 74-62 65%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +22.6 +7.6 +15.5
  Jan 06, 2014 48   Maryland W 79-59 76%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +27.1 +13.1 +14.3
  Jan 11, 2014 104   Wake Forest W 80-65 89%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +16.3 +16.4 +1.4
  Jan 14, 2014 101   @ Georgia Tech W 81-74 76%     16 - 1 4 - 0 +14.2 +12.4 +1.7
  Jan 18, 2014 21   @ Syracuse L 54-59 40%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +12.0 +4.1 +6.6
  Jan 21, 2014 54   Clemson W 76-43 77%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +39.6 +22.6 +22.7
  Jan 25, 2014 48   @ Maryland W 83-79 57%     18 - 2 6 - 1 +16.7 +8.6 +7.6
  Jan 27, 2014 8   Duke L 65-80 52%     18 - 3 6 - 2 -1.0 +2.1 -5.0
  Feb 02, 2014 6   Virginia L 45-48 51%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +11.2 -3.4 +13.6
  Feb 05, 2014 73   @ Miami (FL) W 59-55 OT 67%     19 - 4 7 - 3 +13.9 -3.0 +17.3
  Feb 08, 2014 157   Virginia Tech W 62-57 2OT 93%     20 - 4 8 - 3 +2.8 -5.7 +8.7
  Feb 12, 2014 21   Syracuse L 56-58 62%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +9.4 +5.4 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2014 28   @ North Carolina L 71-75 44%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +12.0 +4.6 +7.6
  Feb 23, 2014 43   Florida St. L 66-71 74%     20 - 7 8 - 6 +2.7 +1.8 +0.6
  Feb 26, 2014 130   @ Boston College W 66-59 80%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +12.4 +2.8 +10.9
  Mar 01, 2014 88   @ Notre Dame W 85-81 OT 71%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +12.8 +18.3 -5.3
  Mar 03, 2014 66   North Carolina St. L 67-74 81%     22 - 8 10 - 7 -2.0 +6.1 -9.3
  Mar 08, 2014 54   @ Clemson W 83-78 OT 59%     23 - 8 11 - 7 +17.1 +16.1 +0.9
  Mar 13, 2014 104   Wake Forest W 84-55 84%     24 - 8 +33.0 +16.4 +17.5
  Mar 14, 2014 28   North Carolina W 80-75 55%     25 - 8 +18.2 +8.4 +9.4
  Mar 15, 2014 6   Virginia L 48-51 40%     25 - 9 +14.0 -1.0 +14.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 96.0% 96.0% 8.2 0.1 1.9 4.6 19.3 30.2 25.5 11.9 2.4 0.0 4.0 96.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.0% 0.0% 96.0% 8.2 0.1 1.9 4.6 19.3 30.2 25.5 11.9 2.4 0.0 4.0 96.0%