Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.0#6
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#6
Pace58.4#342
Improvement+5.1#20

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#40
Improvement+5.2#9

Defense
Total Defense+11.2#3
Improvement-0.1#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3.7% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 36.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 84.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight38.4% n/a n/a
Final Four20.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.7% n/a n/a
National Champion5.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 262   James Madison W 61-41 98%     1 - 0 +11.6 -8.9 +22.3
  Nov 12, 2013 22   Virginia Commonwealth L 56-59 71%     1 - 1 +8.2 -8.1 +16.4
  Nov 16, 2013 129   Davidson W 70-57 90%     2 - 1 +15.6 +1.8 +15.2
  Nov 19, 2013 298   Navy W 67-42 99%     3 - 1 +13.2 +0.7 +15.7
  Nov 23, 2013 297   Liberty W 75-53 99%     4 - 1 +10.3 +2.7 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2013 220   Hampton W 69-40 97%     5 - 1 +22.9 -0.4 +24.0
  Nov 29, 2013 32   SMU W 76-73 70%     6 - 1 +14.8 +17.4 -2.4
  Nov 30, 2013 151   Missouri St. W 83-63 92%     7 - 1 +21.3 +11.0 +10.5
  Dec 04, 2013 12   Wisconsin L 38-48 66%     7 - 2 +2.8 -24.2 +25.1
  Dec 07, 2013 64   @ Green Bay L 72-75 73%     7 - 3 +7.8 +13.6 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2013 96   Northern Iowa W 57-43 91%     8 - 3 +16.2 -11.0 +28.9
  Dec 23, 2013 258   Norfolk St. W 66-56 98%     9 - 3 +1.9 -5.4 +8.3
  Dec 30, 2013 16   @ Tennessee L 52-87 49%     9 - 4 -17.7 -6.3 -15.0
  Jan 04, 2014 43   @ Florida St. W 62-50 64%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +25.3 +0.3 +25.8
  Jan 08, 2014 104   Wake Forest W 74-51 92%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +24.3 +3.9 +20.8
  Jan 11, 2014 66   @ North Carolina St. W 76-45 73%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +41.6 +9.7 +33.1
  Jan 13, 2014 8   @ Duke L 65-69 40%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +15.6 +5.9 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2014 43   Florida St. W 78-66 81%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +19.7 +11.4 +8.7
  Jan 20, 2014 28   North Carolina W 76-61 74%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +25.4 +15.8 +10.8
  Jan 25, 2014 157   Virginia Tech W 65-45 95%     15 - 5 6 - 1 +17.8 +4.5 +16.4
  Jan 28, 2014 88   @ Notre Dame W 68-53 78%     16 - 5 7 - 1 +23.8 +4.4 +21.2
  Feb 02, 2014 17   @ Pittsburgh W 48-45 49%     17 - 5 8 - 1 +20.2 -1.3 +22.5
  Feb 05, 2014 130   Boston College W 77-67 94%     18 - 5 9 - 1 +9.8 +3.9 +6.6
  Feb 08, 2014 101   @ Georgia Tech W 64-45 82%     19 - 5 10 - 1 +26.2 +7.5 +22.0
  Feb 10, 2014 48   Maryland W 61-53 82%     20 - 5 11 - 1 +15.1 +5.7 +11.0
  Feb 15, 2014 54   @ Clemson W 63-58 68%     21 - 5 12 - 1 +17.1 +16.7 +1.9
  Feb 18, 2014 157   @ Virginia Tech W 57-53 89%     22 - 5 13 - 1 +7.4 +4.0 +4.5
  Feb 22, 2014 88   Notre Dame W 70-49 90%     23 - 5 14 - 1 +24.2 +17.4 +13.4
  Feb 26, 2014 73   Miami (FL) W 65-40 88%     24 - 5 15 - 1 +29.3 +8.7 +26.0
  Mar 01, 2014 21   Syracuse W 75-56 71%     25 - 5 16 - 1 +30.4 +24.2 +10.2
  Mar 09, 2014 48   @ Maryland L 69-75 OT 66%     25 - 6 16 - 2 +6.7 +4.7 +2.0
  Mar 14, 2014 43   Florida St. W 64-51 73%     26 - 6 +23.5 +10.4 +15.9
  Mar 15, 2014 17   Pittsburgh W 51-48 60%     27 - 6 +17.4 -1.9 +20.1
  Mar 16, 2014 8   Duke W 72-63 51%     28 - 6 +25.8 +10.3 +16.5
Projected Record 28.0 - 6.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.8 36.6 47.8 14.0 1.7 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.8 36.6 47.8 14.0 1.7 0.0