Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 Stony Brook 100.0%   14   24 - 6 14 - 2 24 - 6 14 - 2 +5.4      +1.6 132 +3.9 77 66.8 260 +6.5 92 +5.6 1
131 Albany 0.0%   23 - 8 13 - 3 23 - 8 13 - 3 +2.4      +1.1 151 +1.3 138 66.1 278 +1.9 139 +3.1 2
152 Vermont 0.0%   20 - 13 11 - 5 20 - 13 11 - 5 +0.8      +2.1 120 -1.2 200 68.5 215 +0.7 158 -1.4 4
243 New Hampshire 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 5 17 - 12 11 - 5 -4.8      -3.5 262 -1.3 201 67.5 240 -2.6 204 -0.6 3
307 Umass Lowell 0.0%   10 - 18 7 - 9 10 - 18 7 - 9 -9.8      -2.6 234 -7.2 337 81.1 13 -8.0 286 -7.0 5
317 Binghamton 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 11 8 - 22 5 - 11 -10.8      -11.4 347 +0.6 159 64.9 297 -12.1 320 -11.6 6
320 Hartford 0.0%   9 - 23 4 - 12 9 - 23 4 - 12 -11.1      -3.3 252 -7.8 339 72.0 127 -11.2 317 -13.4 8
328 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   7 - 25 3 - 13 7 - 25 3 - 13 -12.3      -3.0 244 -9.3 348 72.3 120 -12.9 329 -15.9 9
336 Maine 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 12 8 - 22 4 - 12 -13.5      -6.5 316 -7.0 335 91.6 2 -11.5 318 -12.7 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Stony Brook 1.0 100.0
Albany 2.0 100.0
Vermont 3.0 100.0
New Hampshire 3.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 5.0 100.0
Binghamton 6.0 100.0
Hartford 7.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.0 100.0
Maine 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Stony Brook 14 - 2 100.0
Albany 13 - 3 100.0
Vermont 11 - 5 100.0
New Hampshire 11 - 5 100.0
Umass Lowell 7 - 9 100.0
Binghamton 5 - 11 100.0
Hartford 4 - 12 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3 - 13 100.0
Maine 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stony Brook 100.0% 100.0
Albany
Vermont
New Hampshire
Umass Lowell
Binghamton
Hartford
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stony Brook 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 3.5 38.7 57.0 0.7
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vermont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stony Brook 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.7% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.7% 0.1 85.3 14.7
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0