Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2015-16


Compare with others at bracketmatrix.com

View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Kansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Villanova At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  North Carolina Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Oregon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Oklahoma At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Michigan St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  West Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Xavier At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Miami (FL) At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Utah At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Indiana At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Texas A&M At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Maryland At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Duke At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  California At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Iowa St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Seton Hall Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Texas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Iowa At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  Arizona At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Wisconsin At-Large 99.3% 99.3% 99.3%
7  Notre Dame At-Large 99.2% 99.2% 99.2%
7  Texas Tech At-Large 97.4% 97.4% 97.4%
7  Providence At-Large 98.2% 98.2% 98.2%
8  Dayton At-Large 95.9% 95.9% 95.9%
8  Saint Joseph's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
8  Oregon St. At-Large 97.5% 97.5% 97.5%
8  Connecticut Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Pittsburgh At-Large 93.6% 93.6% 93.6%
9  Colorado At-Large 91.5% 91.5% 91.5%
9  Butler At-Large 94.2% 94.2% 94.2%
9  USC At-Large 91.3% 91.3% 91.3%
10  Syracuse At-Large 76.3% 76.3% 76.3%
10  Cincinnati At-Large 80.1% 80.1% 80.1%
10  Virginia Commonwealth At-Large 70.1% 70.1% 70.1%
10  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  St. Mary's At-Large 74.9% 74.9% 74.9%
11  Vanderbilt At-Large 61.8% 61.8% 61.8%
11  South Carolina At-Large 51.8% 51.8% 51.8%
11  Florida At-Large 50.4% 50.4% 50.4%
11  Michigan At-Large 48.7% 48.7% 48.7%
11  Northern Iowa Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Chattanooga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Arkansas Little Rock Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  UNC Wilmington Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Hawaii Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Fresno St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Stephen F. Austin Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Stony Brook Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Middle Tennessee Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Buffalo Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Green Bay Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Weber St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Cal St. Bakersfield Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  UNC Asheville Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Hampton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Austin Peay Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Florida Gulf Coast Auto 95.4% 95.4%
16  Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Holy Cross Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Fairleigh Dickinson Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Cincinnati 80.1% 80.1% 80.1%
Syracuse 76.3% 76.3% 76.3%
St. Mary's 74.9% 74.9% 74.9%
Virginia Commonwealth 70.1% 70.1% 70.1%
Vanderbilt 61.8% 61.8% 61.8%
South Carolina 51.8% 51.8% 51.8%
Florida 50.4% 50.4% 50.4%
Michigan 48.7% 48.7% 48.7%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
St. Bonaventure 44.4% 44.4% 44.4%
Wichita St. 40.6% 40.6% 40.6%
Temple 38.3% 38.3% 38.3%
Tulsa 37.3% 37.3% 37.3%
San Diego St. 26.3% 26.3% 26.3%
Virginia Tech 23.5% 23.5% 23.5%
Georgia Tech 21.2% 21.2% 21.2%
Georgia 16.5% 16.5% 16.5%
Valparaiso 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Florida St. 14.9% 14.9% 14.9%
Ohio St. 14.4% 14.4% 14.4%
Alabama 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
George Washington 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
Houston 5.1% 5.1% 5.1%
Washington 4.2% 4.2% 4.2%
Monmouth 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
LSU 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Hofstra 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
Princeton 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
Marquette 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Clemson 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
BYU 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Akron 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Creighton 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Davidson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Stanford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%