Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
199 Wagner 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 -2.2      -3.7 274 +1.5 130 65.5 290 -3.0 209 -3.9 1
262 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   14 - 19 10 - 8 14 - 19 10 - 8 -6.2      -7.0 321 +0.8 151 69.7 182 -7.8 284 -7.8 5
269 Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0%   16   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 -6.7      +0.2 167 -6.9 332 77.4 45 -5.0 239 -6.3 4
274 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 7 14 - 17 11 - 7 -7.3      -7.6 327 +0.3 169 65.7 283 -7.8 283 -6.3 3
287 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   16 - 15 9 - 9 16 - 15 9 - 9 -8.0      -2.6 236 -5.4 309 78.0 32 -6.9 269 -9.0 7
297 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 9 12 - 17 9 - 9 -8.9      -2.6 235 -6.3 322 65.6 286 -8.8 292 -8.9 6
298 Sacred Heart 0.0%   12 - 18 11 - 7 12 - 18 11 - 7 -8.9      -3.4 258 -5.5 311 77.0 51 -9.3 295 -6.1 2
306 Robert Morris 0.0%   10 - 22 8 - 10 10 - 22 8 - 10 -9.5      -9.3 337 -0.2 184 69.9 179 -10.4 311 -10.2 8
343 Bryant 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 13 7 - 23 5 - 13 -14.5      -7.6 328 -6.9 331 68.1 226 -13.4 333 -14.1 9
351 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 15 4 - 25 3 - 15 -17.8      -8.1 333 -9.7 350 69.0 200 -18.5 350 -17.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wagner 1.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 5.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 2.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 6.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 6.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 2.0 100.0
Robert Morris 8.0 100.0
Bryant 9.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wagner 13 - 5 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 10 - 8 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 11 - 7 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 11 - 7 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 9 100.0
Sacred Heart 11 - 7 100.0
Robert Morris 8 - 10 100.0
Bryant 5 - 13 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 100.0% 100.0
Mount St. Mary's
Fairleigh Dickinson
St. Francis Brooklyn
LIU Brooklyn
St. Francis (PA)
Sacred Heart
Robert Morris
Bryant
Central Connecticut St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 94.9% 50.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 50.7% 0.5 49.3 50.7
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0