Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Stephen F. Austin 100.0%   13   23 - 5 18 - 0 23 - 5 18 - 0 +9.8      +5.0 59 +4.8 56 68.5 217 +6.0 95 +11.9 1
177 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   23 - 7 15 - 3 23 - 7 15 - 3 -0.8      -1.9 213 +1.0 145 71.0 149 +5.7 96 +3.4 2
225 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 15 - 14 12 - 6 -3.7      -1.8 212 -1.9 223 67.4 246 -4.8 237 -3.5 4
267 Incarnate Word 0.0%   14 - 11 12 - 6 14 - 11 12 - 6 -6.5      -2.4 230 -4.1 280 68.4 220 -3.7 220 -3.5 3
284 Houston Baptist 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 8 13 - 16 10 - 8 -7.9      -1.9 214 -6.0 319 74.1 85 -5.8 250 -6.1 5
316 Abilene Christian 0.0%   9 - 18 8 - 10 9 - 18 8 - 10 -10.8      -6.0 313 -4.7 297 70.2 167 -11.1 316 -9.9 6
322 SE Louisiana 0.0%   10 - 21 9 - 9 10 - 21 9 - 9 -11.3      -5.9 311 -5.5 310 70.4 165 -12.5 324 -10.1 7
326 New Orleans 0.0%   7 - 20 6 - 12 7 - 20 6 - 12 -11.7      -6.1 314 -5.7 314 77.8 35 -13.6 334 -13.8 9
327 Central Arkansas 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 12 7 - 21 6 - 12 -12.2      -3.6 266 -8.6 344 78.5 27 -14.6 341 -14.4 11
330 Lamar 0.0%   7 - 19 3 - 15 7 - 19 3 - 15 -12.5      -6.0 312 -6.5 324 78.3 28 -14.1 338 -18.0 13
333 Nicholls St. 0.0%   8 - 23 6 - 12 8 - 23 6 - 12 -12.9      -9.8 342 -3.1 259 72.0 128 -13.0 330 -14.1 10
334 McNeese St. 0.0%   7 - 19 7 - 11 7 - 19 7 - 11 -13.3      -5.2 305 -8.1 342 70.4 164 -13.8 335 -12.8 8
340 Northwestern St. 0.0%   5 - 19 5 - 13 5 - 19 5 - 13 -13.9      -3.4 256 -10.5 351 82.4 10 -15.2 342 -15.0 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 2.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 3.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 3.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 5.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 7.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 6.0 100.0
New Orleans 9.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 9.0 100.0
Lamar 13.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 9.0 100.0
McNeese St. 8.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Stephen F. Austin 18 - 0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 15 - 3 100.0
Sam Houston St. 12 - 6 100.0
Incarnate Word 12 - 6 100.0
Houston Baptist 10 - 8 100.0
Abilene Christian 8 - 10 100.0
SE Louisiana 9 - 9 100.0
New Orleans 6 - 12 100.0
Central Arkansas 6 - 12 100.0
Lamar 3 - 15 100.0
Nicholls St. 6 - 12 100.0
McNeese St. 7 - 11 100.0
Northwestern St. 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Sam Houston St.
Incarnate Word
Houston Baptist
Abilene Christian
SE Louisiana
New Orleans
Central Arkansas
Lamar
Nicholls St.
McNeese St.
Northwestern St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 3.4 17.1 59.2 20.3 0.1
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 28.2% 10.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 28.2% 0.3 71.8 28.2
Sweet Sixteen 10.0% 0.1 90.0 10.0
Elite Eight 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Final Four 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0