Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
95 South Dakota St. 100.0%   13   24 - 7 12 - 4 24 - 7 12 - 4 +5.8      +3.6 90 +2.2 113 71.1 146 +7.1 83 +4.9 2
132 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   22 - 9 12 - 4 22 - 9 12 - 4 +2.3      +4.6 67 -2.3 231 73.9 88 +5.2 100 +5.5 1
147 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   16 - 13 10 - 6 16 - 13 10 - 6 +1.0      +3.4 92 -2.4 235 87.3 6 +0.6 160 +2.2 3
158 North Dakota St. 0.0%   18 - 13 8 - 8 18 - 13 8 - 8 +0.4      -2.2 225 +2.7 106 62.7 332 +0.8 153 -0.8 5
183 Oral Roberts 0.0%   12 - 17 6 - 10 12 - 17 6 - 10 -1.3      +1.8 127 -3.0 257 71.8 132 -0.8 175 -3.6 7
191 Denver 0.0%   16 - 15 7 - 9 16 - 15 7 - 9 -1.9      -0.1 172 -1.8 219 55.1 351 -1.8 191 -2.0 6
213 IUPUI 0.0%   12 - 19 9 - 7 12 - 19 9 - 7 -3.3      -3.8 278 +0.5 164 71.4 140 -1.9 194 +1.2 4
226 South Dakota 0.0%   12 - 18 5 - 11 12 - 18 5 - 11 -3.8      +0.5 163 -4.3 289 74.6 78 -2.0 195 -4.9 8
240 Western Illinois 0.0%   7 - 17 3 - 13 7 - 17 3 - 13 -4.7      -3.3 250 -1.4 206 69.1 191 -6.3 261 -8.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 1.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 3.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 5.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 7.0 100.0
Denver 6.0 100.0
IUPUI 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 8.0 100.0
Western Illinois 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 12 - 4 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 4 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 10 - 6 100.0
North Dakota St. 8 - 8 100.0
Oral Roberts 6 - 10 100.0
Denver 7 - 9 100.0
IUPUI 9 - 7 100.0
South Dakota 5 - 11 100.0
Western Illinois 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska Omaha
North Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
Denver
IUPUI
South Dakota
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 2.7 28.6 57.9 10.8 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.9% 4.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 16.9% 0.2 83.1 16.9
Sweet Sixteen 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0