Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#110
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#129
Pace68.8#207
Improvement+4.5#19

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#201
First Shot-2.5#255
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#91
Layup/Dunks+5.2#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#335
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement+0.7#154

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#47
First Shot+5.0#41
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#147
Layups/Dunks+1.5#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#56
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement+3.9#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 217   Idaho W 68-45 83%     1 - 0 +16.7 -0.1 +18.7
  Nov 25, 2015 164   @ Wyoming L 64-68 55%     1 - 1 -1.4 -5.5 +3.8
  Nov 29, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 59-94 17%     1 - 2 -21.1 -10.4 -10.7
  Dec 02, 2015 217   @ Idaho L 63-67 67%     1 - 3 -4.5 -8.3 +3.8
  Dec 05, 2015 345   Northern Arizona W 72-55 97%     2 - 3 -0.8 -8.0 +7.4
  Dec 12, 2015 226   @ South Dakota W 77-67 68%     3 - 3 +9.1 -0.9 +9.8
  Dec 14, 2015 229   Dartmouth W 69-62 84%     4 - 3 +0.1 -7.4 +7.3
  Dec 16, 2015 102   @ Fresno St. L 68-76 35%     4 - 4 +0.0 +1.3 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2015 259   Portland St. W 78-66 88%     5 - 4 +3.0 +0.2 +2.9
  Dec 28, 2015 86   @ Arizona St. L 59-75 30%     5 - 5 -6.5 -9.0 +2.3
  Dec 31, 2015 305   Morgan St. W 80-68 93%     6 - 5 -0.4 +0.8 -1.5
  Jan 02, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 67-48 70%     7 - 5 +17.6 -1.3 +20.0
  Jan 09, 2016 253   @ UMKC W 83-72 73%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +8.4 +10.7 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 67-56 94%     9 - 5 2 - 0 -2.3 -10.3 +8.2
  Jan 16, 2016 292   @ Seattle W 79-52 82%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +21.3 +9.0 +13.1
  Jan 21, 2016 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-58 97%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +0.1 +2.1 +0.0
  Jan 23, 2016 112   New Mexico St. L 67-68 2OT 62%     11 - 6 4 - 1 -0.3 -9.3 +9.2
  Jan 28, 2016 134   @ Grand Canyon L 64-70 46%     11 - 7 4 - 2 -0.9 -10.9 +10.4
  Jan 30, 2016 282   @ Utah Valley W 78-74 80%     12 - 7 5 - 2 -1.0 +1.3 -2.3
  Feb 04, 2016 253   UMKC W 77-66 87%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +2.6 +6.5 -2.8
  Feb 06, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 71-48 97%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +3.9 -8.9 +13.2
  Feb 13, 2016 282   Utah Valley W 91-69 91%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +11.2 -0.8 +8.9
  Feb 18, 2016 112   @ New Mexico St. L 55-63 40%     15 - 8 8 - 3 -1.4 -11.7 +10.3
  Feb 20, 2016 347   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-57 93%     16 - 8 9 - 3 +0.0 -10.0 +10.0
  Feb 27, 2016 134   Grand Canyon W 77-62 67%     17 - 8 10 - 3 +14.2 +4.1 +10.1
  Mar 05, 2016 292   Seattle W 93-71 92%     18 - 8 11 - 3 +10.4 +7.6 +0.5
  Mar 10, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 79-57 96%     19 - 8 +5.8 -3.5 +8.5
  Mar 11, 2016 292   Seattle W 72-47 88%     20 - 8 +16.4 +3.3 +14.9
  Mar 12, 2016 112   New Mexico St. W 57-54 51%     21 - 8 +6.6 -2.8 +9.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.1 11.5 88.4 0.1
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 11.5 88.4 0.1