Pre-tourney Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#291
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#313
Pace72.6#108
Improvement+4.5#20

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#246
First Shot-3.4#272
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#150
Layup/Dunks-1.2#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
Freethrows-1.7#288
Improvement+2.6#61

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#313
First Shot-4.9#319
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#249
Layups/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#349
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement+1.9#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 20, 2015 272   South Carolina St. L 77-83 44%     0 - 1 -13.1 -1.8 -11.3
  Nov 21, 2015 160   Ball St. L 67-78 20%     0 - 2 -10.8 -6.7 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2015 201   @ Eastern Kentucky L 97-110 20%     0 - 3 -12.7 +11.8 -23.2
  Nov 25, 2015 336   @ Maine L 82-92 58%     0 - 4 -20.6 -12.0 -6.7
  Nov 28, 2015 123   @ Columbia W 70-69 10%     1 - 4 +6.7 +7.6 -0.7
  Dec 02, 2015 149   @ High Point L 66-90 12%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -20.1 -4.6 -16.8
  Dec 05, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59-70 74%     1 - 6 -26.2 -16.6 -11.0
  Dec 12, 2015 103   @ Richmond L 59-77 7%     1 - 7 -10.1 -15.9 +6.6
  Dec 15, 2015 82   @ Oklahoma St. L 55-73 5%     1 - 8 -8.3 -10.0 +1.4
  Dec 19, 2015 196   @ George Mason L 70-75 19%     1 - 9 -4.2 -0.7 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2015 229   @ Dartmouth L 54-78 24%     1 - 10 -25.1 -15.0 -11.4
  Dec 31, 2015 125   UNC Asheville L 61-70 21%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -9.2 -16.0 +7.9
  Jan 02, 2016 233   Gardner-Webb L 66-67 45%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -8.2 -18.8 +10.7
  Jan 06, 2016 318   @ Presbyterian L 65-78 47%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -20.9 -13.1 -7.1
  Jan 09, 2016 166   Coastal Carolina W 76-61 31%     2 - 13 1 - 4 +11.7 +4.9 +7.3
  Jan 14, 2016 296   @ Campbell W 74-57 40%     3 - 13 2 - 4 +11.0 -4.6 +15.3
  Jan 19, 2016 280   @ Liberty L 53-55 35%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -6.7 -19.0 +12.2
  Jan 24, 2016 154   Winthrop L 68-82 27%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -16.2 -6.3 -10.2
  Jan 27, 2016 227   Radford L 81-90 43%     3 - 16 2 - 7 -15.8 +0.2 -15.5
  Jan 30, 2016 125   @ UNC Asheville L 74-88 10%     3 - 17 2 - 8 -8.4 +3.5 -11.2
  Feb 03, 2016 296   Campbell W 80-79 62%     4 - 17 3 - 8 -10.8 -3.2 -7.6
  Feb 06, 2016 299   @ Charleston Southern W 78-76 2OT 40%     5 - 17 4 - 8 -4.1 -7.9 +3.6
  Feb 11, 2016 154   @ Winthrop L 80-88 13%     5 - 18 4 - 9 -4.3 +1.0 -4.8
  Feb 13, 2016 280   Liberty L 68-69 58%     5 - 19 4 - 10 -11.5 +1.0 -12.8
  Feb 18, 2016 149   High Point L 80-88 26%     5 - 20 4 - 11 -9.9 -0.1 -9.6
  Feb 20, 2016 233   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-81 25%     5 - 21 4 - 12 -11.4 -3.4 -7.8
  Feb 25, 2016 318   Presbyterian L 73-74 69%     5 - 22 4 - 13 -14.7 -10.4 -4.3
  Feb 27, 2016 227   @ Radford W 92-81 23%     6 - 22 5 - 13 +10.0 +15.8 -6.0
  Mar 03, 2016 299   Charleston Southern W 75-69 52%     7 - 22 -3.0 -0.8 -2.1
  Mar 04, 2016 149   High Point L 78-89 18%     7 - 23 -10.0 -0.8 -8.8
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%