Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#195
Pace74.6#78
Improvement-1.8#262

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#163
First Shot+2.4#106
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#303
Layup/Dunks+4.9#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#225
Freethrows-2.5#320
Improvement-1.7#260

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#289
First Shot-4.9#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#112
Layups/Dunks+1.8#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#338
Freethrows-1.9#298
Improvement-0.1#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 145   Wright St. L 69-77 32%     0 - 1 -6.8 -4.2 -2.2
  Nov 14, 2015 163   @ Northern Illinois L 65-72 27%     0 - 2 -4.3 -1.4 -3.2
  Nov 15, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 76-72 53%     1 - 2 -0.6 -0.2 -0.6
  Nov 20, 2015 49   @ Kansas St. L 72-93 7%     1 - 3 -7.7 +2.0 -8.2
  Nov 28, 2015 278   @ Sacramento St. W 96-90 53%     2 - 3 +1.4 +21.7 -20.4
  Nov 29, 2015 205   Eastern Washington W 77-71 46%     3 - 3 +3.1 +3.7 +0.0
  Dec 05, 2015 176   @ Minnesota W 85-81 2OT 29%     4 - 3 +6.1 -1.0 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2015 253   UMKC W 79-70 67%     5 - 3 +0.6 -5.4 +5.3
  Dec 12, 2015 110   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-77 32%     5 - 4 -9.0 -4.0 -4.7
  Dec 17, 2015 114   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 92-91 2OT 17%     6 - 4 +7.3 +0.4 +6.7
  Dec 19, 2015 109   @ Illinois L 79-91 16%     6 - 5 -5.2 +3.9 -8.3
  Dec 22, 2015 115   @ UNLV L 68-103 17%     6 - 6 -28.7 -5.1 -20.5
  Dec 28, 2015 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-81 OT 41%     7 - 6 +6.4 -1.3 +6.3
  Jan 01, 2016 213   IUPUI L 66-77 59%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -17.2 -9.2 -7.7
  Jan 03, 2016 183   @ Oral Roberts W 94-84 30%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +11.7 +9.8 +0.8
  Jan 06, 2016 132   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-85 20%     8 - 8 1 - 2 -14.8 -9.7 -4.7
  Jan 09, 2016 147   Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 43%     8 - 9 1 - 3 -7.9 -6.2 -1.5
  Jan 13, 2016 158   @ North Dakota St. L 65-66 25%     8 - 10 1 - 4 +2.3 -0.2 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2016 240   Western Illinois W 76-67 65%     9 - 10 2 - 4 +1.4 +1.5 +0.0
  Jan 23, 2016 95   South Dakota St. L 75-79 26%     9 - 11 2 - 5 -1.1 -1.6 +0.8
  Jan 28, 2016 191   @ Denver L 52-66 32%     9 - 12 2 - 6 -13.0 -13.9 -1.0
  Jan 30, 2016 147   @ Nebraska Omaha L 83-96 23%     9 - 13 2 - 7 -9.1 -1.6 -5.8
  Feb 04, 2016 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 82-95 38%     9 - 14 2 - 8 -13.6 +1.1 -14.0
  Feb 06, 2016 183   Oral Roberts W 91-79 52%     10 - 14 3 - 8 +7.8 +5.4 +1.3
  Feb 11, 2016 158   North Dakota St. W 72-58 45%     11 - 14 4 - 8 +11.5 +2.2 +9.6
  Feb 13, 2016 95   @ South Dakota St. L 68-85 12%     11 - 15 4 - 9 -8.3 -3.1 -4.7
  Feb 21, 2016 191   Denver L 71-76 54%     11 - 16 4 - 10 -9.8 +4.1 -14.5
  Feb 25, 2016 213   @ IUPUI W 85-82 37%     12 - 16 5 - 10 +2.6 +5.7 -3.4
  Feb 27, 2016 240   @ Western Illinois L 76-90 42%     12 - 17 5 - 11 -15.8 -3.8 -10.6
  Mar 05, 2016 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-86 28%     12 - 18 -13.7 -9.9 -2.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%