Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 West Virginia 100.0%   4   26 - 8 12 - 6 26 - 8 12 - 6 +19.7      +9.5 19 +10.2 5 72.0 73 +17.9 11 +18.1 4
6 Kansas 100.0%   1   28 - 4 16 - 2 28 - 4 16 - 2 +19.4      +12.2 9 +7.3 27 70.9 97 +23.7 3 +26.3 1
15 Baylor 100.0%   3   24 - 7 12 - 6 24 - 7 12 - 6 +17.6      +8.4 27 +9.2 12 59.9 328 +19.4 8 +18.4 3
17 Iowa St. 100.0%   5   23 - 10 12 - 6 23 - 10 12 - 6 +17.6      +11.5 12 +6.1 41 69.3 126 +17.5 14 +18.4 2
20 Oklahoma St. 79.5%   11   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +16.5      +14.2 1 +2.3 104 75.8 30 +14.7 26 +14.2 5
30 Kansas St. 76.5%   11   20 - 13 8 - 10 20 - 13 8 - 10 +12.9      +6.1 42 +6.8 32 63.1 282 +13.1 34 +13.2 6
37 TCU 1.7%   18 - 15 6 - 12 18 - 15 6 - 12 +11.7      +6.6 38 +5.0 54 65.2 242 +11.6 42 +10.5 8
45 Texas Tech 0.0%   18 - 14 6 - 12 18 - 14 6 - 12 +11.3      +7.0 35 +4.3 67 58.9 340 +10.0 54 +10.5 7
60 Oklahoma 0.0%   11 - 20 5 - 13 11 - 20 5 - 13 +9.3      +2.3 107 +7.0 29 71.9 78 +6.4 81 +9.2 9
63 Texas 0.0%   11 - 22 4 - 14 11 - 22 4 - 14 +8.6      +0.1 162 +8.5 19 67.1 202 +5.7 92 +7.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
West Virginia 2.0 100.0
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Baylor 2.0 100.0
Iowa St. 2.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 5.0 100.0
Kansas St. 6.0 100.0
TCU 7.0 100.0
Texas Tech 7.0 100.0
Oklahoma 9.0 100.0
Texas 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
West Virginia 12 - 6 100.0
Kansas 16 - 2 100.0
Baylor 12 - 6 100.0
Iowa St. 12 - 6 100.0
Oklahoma St. 9 - 9 100.0
Kansas St. 8 - 10 100.0
TCU 6 - 12 100.0
Texas Tech 6 - 12 100.0
Oklahoma 5 - 13 100.0
Texas 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
West Virginia
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Baylor
Iowa St.
Oklahoma St.
Kansas St.
TCU
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Texas


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.1 1.2 17.4 36.6 34.2 10.0 0.5 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   76.1 23.3 0.6 0.0 100.0%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   6.3 34.2 46.8 12.1 0.6 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5   0.0 0.3 8.6 28.4 43.7 17.8 1.2 0.0
Oklahoma St. 79.5% 0.0% 79.5% 11   0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 8.1 45.0 22.4 0.0 20.5 79.5%
Kansas St. 76.5% 0.0% 76.5% 11   0.0 0.4 3.6 7.4 18.1 40.6 6.4 23.5 76.5%
TCU 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 0.3 1.3 0.0 98.3 1.7%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 88.3% 57.8% 31.0% 17.1% 8.8% 4.2%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.0% 73.1% 44.3% 24.2% 11.9% 5.6%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.5% 59.3% 30.4% 13.6% 5.9% 2.5%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.4% 45.6% 20.6% 9.6% 4.2% 1.7%
Oklahoma St. 79.5% 59.5% 62.8% 34.0% 15.9% 6.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Kansas St. 76.5% 33.7% 61.5% 27.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
TCU 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 5.6 3.7 35.7 59.7 0.9
1st Round 100.0% 5.3 11.9 51.4 36.5 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 4.2 0.1 1.9 15.1 46.6 31.1 5.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 98.4% 2.6 1.6 11.9 31.6 37.1 15.7 2.1 0.1
Elite Eight 83.7% 1.4 16.3 42.3 31.4 9.0 0.9 0.0
Final Four 55.7% 0.7 44.3 44.0 10.9 0.7 0.0
Final Game 30.2% 0.3 69.8 28.3 2.0
Champion 14.5% 0.1 85.5 14.5