Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.6#15
Expected Predictive Rating+19.4#8
Pace59.9#328
Improvement-3.4#312

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#27
First Shot+4.5#55
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#5
Layup/Dunks-1.4#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#202
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement-3.4#326

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#12
First Shot+7.4#14
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#20
Layups/Dunks+10.7#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#114
Freethrows+2.3#50
Improvement+0.0#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 6.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 40.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen59.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.4% n/a n/a
Final Four13.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.9% n/a n/a
National Champion2.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 234   Oral Roberts W 76-61 98%     1 - 0 +7.9 +1.4 +7.3
  Nov 15, 2016 14   Oregon W 66-49 60%     2 - 0 +32.2 +12.0 +23.3
  Nov 18, 2016 117   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-72 94%     3 - 0 +9.2 +11.1 -1.4
  Nov 23, 2016 51   Virginia Commonwealth W 71-63 76%     4 - 0 +18.3 +8.8 +10.0
  Nov 24, 2016 44   Michigan St. W 73-58 73%     5 - 0 +26.4 +11.5 +16.0
  Nov 25, 2016 7   Louisville W 66-63 44%     6 - 0 +22.3 +13.9 +8.8
  Nov 30, 2016 246   Sam Houston St. W 79-45 98%     7 - 0 +26.3 +5.8 +20.5
  Dec 03, 2016 41   Xavier W 76-61 80%     8 - 0 +23.8 +6.0 +18.0
  Dec 14, 2016 327   Southern W 89-59 99%     9 - 0 +15.5 +7.6 +7.9
  Dec 17, 2016 329   Jackson St. W 82-57 99%     10 - 0 +12.8 +13.4 +1.6
  Dec 21, 2016 220   Texas Southern W 89-63 98%     11 - 0 +19.7 +24.4 -1.3
  Dec 30, 2016 60   @ Oklahoma W 76-50 71%     12 - 0 1 - 0 +37.8 +20.5 +20.4
  Jan 04, 2017 17   Iowa St. W 65-63 60%     13 - 0 2 - 0 +17.0 +4.2 +13.0
  Jan 07, 2017 20   Oklahoma St. W 61-57 64%     14 - 0 3 - 0 +17.9 +2.1 +16.7
  Jan 10, 2017 5   @ West Virginia L 68-89 33%     14 - 1 3 - 1 +1.3 -0.8 +4.4
  Jan 14, 2017 30   @ Kansas St. W 77-68 58%     15 - 1 4 - 1 +24.4 +16.8 +8.2
  Jan 17, 2017 63   Texas W 74-64 86%     16 - 1 5 - 1 +16.0 +10.4 +5.9
  Jan 21, 2017 37   @ TCU W 62-53 63%     17 - 1 6 - 1 +23.2 +9.7 +15.6
  Jan 25, 2017 45   Texas Tech W 65-61 80%     18 - 1 7 - 1 +12.7 +2.1 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2017 70   @ Mississippi W 78-75 76%     19 - 1 +13.4 +16.6 -3.0
  Feb 01, 2017 6   @ Kansas L 68-73 34%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +17.0 +8.2 +8.5
  Feb 04, 2017 30   Kansas St. L 54-56 76%     19 - 3 7 - 3 +8.4 -5.4 +13.5
  Feb 08, 2017 20   @ Oklahoma St. W 72-69 45%     20 - 3 8 - 3 +22.0 +11.2 +11.2
  Feb 11, 2017 37   TCU W 70-52 79%     21 - 3 9 - 3 +27.1 +18.7 +13.0
  Feb 13, 2017 45   @ Texas Tech L 78-84 64%     21 - 4 9 - 4 +7.8 +18.5 -11.3
  Feb 18, 2017 6   Kansas L 65-67 53%     21 - 5 9 - 5 +14.9 +3.3 +11.5
  Feb 21, 2017 60   Oklahoma W 60-54 85%     22 - 5 10 - 5 +12.7 +2.4 +11.3
  Feb 25, 2017 17   @ Iowa St. L 69-72 40%     22 - 6 10 - 6 +17.1 +23.9 -7.7
  Feb 27, 2017 5   West Virginia W 71-62 52%     23 - 6 11 - 6 +26.2 +14.2 +12.9
  Mar 04, 2017 63   @ Texas W 75-64 73%     24 - 6 12 - 6 +22.1 +15.6 +7.1
  Mar 09, 2017 30   Kansas St. L 64-70 68%     24 - 7 +6.9 +15.6 -10.3
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.7 6.3 34.2 46.8 12.1 0.6 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.7 6.3 34.2 46.8 12.1 0.6 0.0 100.0%