Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 Valparaiso 0.0%   23 - 8 14 - 4 23 - 8 14 - 4 +4.4      +1.3 135 +3.1 86 66.8 209 +6.2 86 +4.5 2
108 Oakland 0.0%   22 - 8 14 - 4 22 - 8 14 - 4 +3.5      -1.3 202 +4.7 62 77.4 18 +3.6 109 +4.5 1
149 Northern Kentucky 100.0%   14   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +0.8      +1.6 123 -0.8 194 67.2 199 +2.4 118 +1.6 4
165 Wright St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 +0.1      +1.5 126 -1.4 212 69.3 124 +1.3 138 +0.2 5
185 Green Bay 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 6 16 - 13 12 - 6 -1.0      -1.7 214 +0.7 155 79.4 11 -0.6 175 +1.8 3
245 Cleveland St. 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 13 8 - 22 5 - 13 -5.0      -6.1 318 +1.0 136 63.4 280 -7.5 278 -8.2 9
247 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 -5.1      -3.4 261 -1.7 221 76.0 29 -4.8 240 -5.0 6
253 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   10 - 24 4 - 14 10 - 24 4 - 14 -5.4      -2.7 241 -2.7 249 57.6 344 -6.4 257 -9.6 10
282 Youngstown St. 0.0%   11 - 21 5 - 13 11 - 21 5 - 13 -7.7      -2.3 227 -5.4 306 77.0 22 -5.8 248 -7.8 8
295 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 12 7 - 23 6 - 12 -8.6      -0.4 178 -8.2 337 74.6 42 -8.6 298 -6.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Valparaiso 1.0 100.0
Oakland 1.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Wright St. 5.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 8.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 6.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Valparaiso 14 - 4 100.0
Oakland 14 - 4 100.0
Northern Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Wright St. 11 - 7 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 6 100.0
Cleveland St. 5 - 13 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 7 - 11 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4 - 14 100.0
Youngstown St. 5 - 13 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Valparaiso 100.0% 100.0
Oakland 100.0% 100.0
Northern Kentucky
Wright St.
Green Bay
Cleveland St.
Illinois-Chicago
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Youngstown St.
Detroit Mercy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.0 75.1 23.9
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0