Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#100
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#86
Pace66.8#209
Improvement+0.5#146

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#135
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#146
Layup/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows+2.2#45
Improvement-0.5#204

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#86
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#124
Layups/Dunks-0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#93
Freethrows+1.1#107
Improvement+0.9#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 334   Southern Utah W 79-65 96%     1 - 0 -1.9 -4.1 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 78-58 97%     2 - 0 +1.7 -9.5 +10.1
  Nov 17, 2016 14   @ Oregon L 54-76 8%     2 - 1 -1.8 -4.3 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2016 52   Alabama W 68-60 29%     3 - 1 +18.3 +10.4 +8.7
  Nov 23, 2016 74   BYU W 92-89 38%     4 - 1 +10.6 +11.3 -1.1
  Nov 27, 2016 166   Ball St. W 79-73 75%     5 - 1 +3.5 -2.9 +5.8
  Nov 29, 2016 49   Rhode Island W 65-62 35%     6 - 1 +11.3 +0.3 +11.2
  Dec 07, 2016 4   @ Kentucky L 63-87 6%     6 - 2 -1.5 -5.7 +6.3
  Dec 10, 2016 130   @ Missouri St. W 84-81 50%     7 - 2 +7.3 +13.4 -6.1
  Dec 17, 2016 191   Indiana St. W 89-71 79%     8 - 2 +14.0 +11.1 +1.7
  Dec 22, 2016 110   Santa Clara L 80-87 2OT 64%     8 - 3 -6.3 +0.2 -5.8
  Dec 28, 2016 339   Chicago St. W 80-61 97%     9 - 3 +1.7 -2.3 +3.2
  Dec 30, 2016 247   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-59 75%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +8.4 +2.9 +6.5
  Jan 06, 2017 108   Oakland L 66-78 63%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -11.1 -0.7 -10.9
  Jan 08, 2017 295   Detroit Mercy W 81-74 92%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -4.2 -4.9 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2017 282   @ Youngstown St. W 78-62 82%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +10.9 +5.6 +6.2
  Jan 14, 2017 245   @ Cleveland St. W 78-67 75%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +8.5 +13.3 -4.0
  Jan 16, 2017 185   Green Bay W 80-56 77%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +20.5 +8.3 +12.7
  Jan 22, 2017 247   Illinois-Chicago W 96-65 87%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +23.3 +14.6 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2017 165   Wright St. W 70-55 75%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +12.5 -6.4 +18.8
  Jan 29, 2017 149   Northern Kentucky W 65-58 72%     17 - 4 8 - 1 +5.3 -1.3 +7.5
  Feb 02, 2017 253   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-53 76%     18 - 4 9 - 1 +15.1 +4.4 +12.7
  Feb 04, 2017 185   @ Green Bay L 69-86 61%     18 - 5 9 - 2 -15.4 -2.1 -13.2
  Feb 09, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 78-57 87%     19 - 5 10 - 2 +13.4 +9.3 +5.3
  Feb 11, 2017 282   Youngstown St. W 82-72 91%     20 - 5 11 - 2 -0.2 +3.1 -3.3
  Feb 17, 2017 108   @ Oakland L 71-82 44%     20 - 6 11 - 3 -5.0 +3.3 -8.2
  Feb 19, 2017 295   @ Detroit Mercy W 83-63 84%     21 - 6 12 - 3 +13.9 +4.8 +9.5
  Feb 21, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 67-61 87%     22 - 6 13 - 3 -2.0 +5.4 -6.0
  Feb 24, 2017 165   @ Wright St. W 84-74 57%     23 - 6 14 - 3 +12.6 +13.4 -0.5
  Feb 26, 2017 149   @ Northern Kentucky L 78-82 54%     23 - 7 14 - 4 -0.6 +11.0 -11.9
  Mar 04, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 41-43 82%     23 - 8 -7.4 -19.9 +11.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%