Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
103 Ohio 0.0%   19 - 11 11 - 7 19 - 11 11 - 7 +4.0      +0.8 148 +3.2 85 71.8 80 +2.2 121 +2.4 3
105 Akron 0.0%   25 - 8 14 - 4 25 - 8 14 - 4 +3.8      +5.9 45 -2.1 235 63.0 286 +6.2 85 +6.6 1
125 Buffalo 0.0%   15 - 15 11 - 7 15 - 15 11 - 7 +2.1      +1.0 142 +1.1 135 73.3 56 -0.1 161 +2.0 5
132 Toledo 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 +1.7      +2.6 97 -0.9 197 64.9 251 -0.5 171 -1.0 7
147 Kent St. 100.0%   15   21 - 13 10 - 8 21 - 13 10 - 8 +1.1      -0.5 182 +1.5 122 68.9 140 +1.8 133 +0.6 6
160 Western Michigan 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 +0.3      +2.0 116 -1.7 223 67.5 190 -0.6 174 +2.5 2
163 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   12 - 17 7 - 11 12 - 17 7 - 11 +0.1      +0.9 146 -0.7 192 68.0 168 -1.6 194 -2.9 9
166 Ball St. 0.0%   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 0.0      -0.1 168 +0.2 172 73.6 52 +1.2 140 +2.1 4
204 Northern Illinois 0.0%   12 - 17 7 - 11 12 - 17 7 - 11 -2.6      -3.0 246 +0.4 166 64.4 259 -3.6 223 -3.2 10
239 Bowling Green 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 -4.8      -3.1 249 -1.7 220 72.1 72 -4.0 230 -2.4 8
242 Central Michigan 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 12 14 - 16 6 - 12 -4.9      +4.0 66 -8.9 343 84.6 5 -2.0 199 -4.5 11
274 Miami (OH) 0.0%   9 - 21 4 - 14 9 - 21 4 - 14 -6.8      -6.7 326 -0.1 179 69.7 119 -6.9 266 -7.5 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Ohio 2.0 100.0
Akron 1.0 100.0
Buffalo 2.0 100.0
Toledo 7.0 100.0
Kent St. 6.0 100.0
Western Michigan 2.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 8.0 100.0
Ball St. 2.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Bowling Green 8.0 100.0
Central Michigan 11.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Ohio 11 - 7 100.0
Akron 14 - 4 100.0
Buffalo 11 - 7 100.0
Toledo 9 - 9 100.0
Kent St. 10 - 8 100.0
Western Michigan 11 - 7 100.0
Eastern Michigan 7 - 11 100.0
Ball St. 11 - 7 100.0
Northern Illinois 7 - 11 100.0
Bowling Green 7 - 11 100.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 100.0
Miami (OH) 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Ohio
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Buffalo
Toledo
Kent St.
Western Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Ball St.
Northern Illinois
Bowling Green
Central Michigan
Miami (OH)


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 24.8 74.6 0.5
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0