Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#132
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#171
Pace64.9#251
Improvement-0.6#203

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#97
First Shot+1.4#133
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#87
Layup/Dunks+4.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#175
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.8#77

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#13
Layups/Dunks-6.8#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#24
Freethrows+2.6#40
Improvement-2.4#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 179   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-77 49%     0 - 1 +0.9 +0.7 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2016 282   Youngstown St. W 103-98 OT 87%     1 - 1 -5.2 +2.1 -8.3
  Nov 19, 2016 165   @ Wright St. W 82-78 46%     2 - 1 +6.6 +7.9 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2016 56   @ Middle Tennessee L 70-80 16%     2 - 2 +2.1 +4.1 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2016 154   Evansville W 83-79 2OT 54%     3 - 2 +4.6 +0.1 +4.0
  Nov 26, 2016 56   Middle Tennessee L 70-73 OT 23%     3 - 3 +6.6 +4.0 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2016 67   UNC Wilmington L 77-102 27%     3 - 4 -17.0 +1.9 -18.4
  Dec 03, 2016 185   Green Bay L 77-78 OT 69%     3 - 5 -4.5 -0.6 -3.9
  Dec 07, 2016 295   Detroit Mercy W 73-65 88%     4 - 5 -3.2 -9.1 +6.0
  Dec 10, 2016 155   @ Marshall L 105-111 OT 45%     4 - 6 -3.0 +15.2 -17.4
  Dec 17, 2016 249   SE Louisiana W 78-56 81%     5 - 6 +14.2 +5.0 +9.3
  Dec 20, 2016 102   Loyola Chicago W 74-70 50%     6 - 6 +5.6 +8.7 -2.7
  Jan 03, 2017 125   Buffalo W 86-54 58%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +31.5 +10.7 +20.0
  Jan 07, 2017 274   Miami (OH) W 91-76 85%     8 - 6 2 - 0 +5.6 +19.0 -13.1
  Jan 10, 2017 160   @ Western Michigan L 74-90 46%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -13.2 +7.8 -22.5
  Jan 13, 2017 242   @ Central Michigan L 88-96 65%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -10.4 -2.0 -7.5
  Jan 17, 2017 239   Bowling Green W 85-73 80%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +4.7 +9.0 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2017 147   @ Kent St. L 61-85 43%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -20.4 -2.6 -20.3
  Jan 24, 2017 103   @ Ohio W 79-76 32%     10 - 9 4 - 3 +9.5 +20.5 -10.6
  Jan 28, 2017 204   Northern Illinois L 72-74 74%     10 - 10 4 - 4 -7.1 -0.6 -6.6
  Jan 31, 2017 166   @ Ball St. L 80-81 47%     10 - 11 4 - 5 +1.6 +2.9 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2017 239   @ Bowling Green L 100-104 2OT 65%     10 - 12 4 - 6 -6.2 +17.3 -23.2
  Feb 07, 2017 163   Eastern Michigan W 73-57 65%     11 - 12 5 - 6 +13.6 +6.8 +8.7
  Feb 11, 2017 147   Kent St. W 78-58 62%     12 - 12 6 - 6 +18.5 +14.8 +6.2
  Feb 14, 2017 105   @ Akron L 65-71 32%     12 - 13 6 - 7 +0.4 -1.7 +1.4
  Feb 18, 2017 204   @ Northern Illinois W 88-80 OT 57%     13 - 13 7 - 7 +7.9 +22.5 -14.0
  Feb 21, 2017 160   Western Michigan L 56-61 OT 65%     13 - 14 7 - 8 -7.3 -17.9 +10.5
  Feb 24, 2017 242   Central Michigan W 87-66 81%     14 - 14 8 - 8 +13.6 +2.3 +10.9
  Feb 28, 2017 166   Ball St. L 74-82 66%     14 - 15 8 - 9 -10.5 -1.9 -8.4
  Mar 03, 2017 163   @ Eastern Michigan W 60-56 46%     15 - 15 9 - 9 +6.7 -6.0 +13.1
  Mar 06, 2017 239   Bowling Green W 77-62 80%     16 - 15 +7.7 +2.5 +5.4
  Mar 09, 2017 103   Ohio L 66-67 41%     16 - 16 +3.0 +2.4 +0.5
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%