Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#295
Pace62.6#298
Improvement-2.4#286

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#296
First Shot-2.2#239
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#333
Layup/Dunks-2.3#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows-2.3#308
Improvement+0.0#187

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#287
First Shot-2.6#253
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#308
Layups/Dunks+0.9#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#283
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement-2.4#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2016 188   @ New Hampshire W 65-57 17%     1 - 0 +9.3 -5.5 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2016 311   Charleston Southern L 65-66 63%     1 - 1 -13.5 -9.2 -4.4
  Nov 25, 2016 60   @ Oklahoma L 64-72 4%     1 - 2 +3.8 -3.2 +7.3
  Nov 30, 2016 118   @ New Mexico L 55-64 10%     1 - 3 -3.8 -5.1 -0.5
  Dec 03, 2016 311   @ Charleston Southern W 85-82 OT 43%     2 - 3 -4.4 +4.7 -9.0
  Dec 17, 2016 283   @ Sacramento St. L 86-88 2OT 35%     2 - 4 -7.2 -1.2 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2016 104   @ San Francisco L 51-86 8%     2 - 5 -28.5 -19.2 -6.7
  Dec 29, 2016 189   @ New Orleans L 66-75 17%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -7.8 +3.8 -12.6
  Dec 31, 2016 249   @ SE Louisiana L 53-75 27%     2 - 7 0 - 2 -24.7 -10.1 -17.9
  Jan 05, 2017 314   Central Arkansas L 76-81 64%     2 - 8 0 - 3 -17.8 -8.4 -9.4
  Jan 07, 2017 228   Stephen F. Austin W 69-60 41%     3 - 8 1 - 3 +2.2 +0.3 +2.5
  Jan 12, 2017 249   SE Louisiana L 50-56 45%     3 - 9 1 - 4 -13.8 -17.3 +2.8
  Jan 14, 2017 233   Lamar W 67-64 42%     4 - 9 2 - 4 -4.1 -8.6 +4.5
  Jan 19, 2017 318   @ Nicholls St. L 59-62 46%     4 - 10 2 - 5 -11.0 -12.5 +1.2
  Jan 26, 2017 309   @ Incarnate Word L 79-82 43%     4 - 11 2 - 6 -10.3 +0.5 -10.8
  Jan 28, 2017 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 60-72 20%     4 - 12 2 - 7 -12.4 -2.4 -12.2
  Feb 01, 2017 189   New Orleans W 70-69 OT 31%     5 - 12 3 - 7 -2.8 +4.1 -6.9
  Feb 04, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. W 71-64 44%     6 - 12 4 - 7 -0.7 -0.9 +0.3
  Feb 09, 2017 314   @ Central Arkansas L 73-84 45%     6 - 13 4 - 8 -18.7 -6.6 -12.3
  Feb 11, 2017 300   Northwestern St. W 76-72 59%     7 - 13 5 - 8 -7.3 -6.2 -1.2
  Feb 16, 2017 319   @ McNeese St. W 82-78 46%     8 - 13 6 - 8 -4.1 +8.7 -12.6
  Feb 22, 2017 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 44-56 36%     8 - 14 6 - 9 -17.5 -27.5 +8.8
  Feb 25, 2017 246   @ Sam Houston St. W 84-81 27%     9 - 14 7 - 9 +0.4 +15.3 -14.8
  Mar 01, 2017 309   Incarnate Word L 75-89 62%     9 - 15 7 - 10 -26.4 -4.7 -21.9
  Mar 04, 2017 219   @ Houston Baptist L 72-81 22%     9 - 16 7 - 11 -10.1 +5.4 -16.5
Projected Record 9.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%