Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#202
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#229
Pace69.2#129
Improvement-1.9#266

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#133
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#121
Layup/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement-2.1#281

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#269
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks-0.3#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#270
Freethrows-1.3#260
Improvement+0.2#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 59   Illinois St. W 73-70 20%     1 - 0 +9.7 +7.4 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2016 56   @ Middle Tennessee L 81-87 10%     1 - 1 +6.1 +13.4 -7.2
  Nov 19, 2016 185   Green Bay W 93-77 45%     2 - 1 +15.0 +16.6 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2016 224   UMKC L 74-85 57%     2 - 2 -15.0 -5.9 -8.5
  Nov 21, 2016 239   @ Bowling Green L 77-78 50%     2 - 3 -3.2 +4.5 -7.7
  Nov 26, 2016 351   Alabama A&M W 91-54 97%     3 - 3 +13.5 +21.0 -1.0
  Nov 29, 2016 144   @ Southern Illinois L 85-89 OT 28%     3 - 4 -0.3 +9.4 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2016 295   Detroit Mercy W 86-76 80%     4 - 4 -1.2 +0.5 -2.0
  Dec 10, 2016 154   @ Evansville L 46-78 30%     4 - 5 -28.9 -22.4 -8.2
  Dec 15, 2016 70   @ Mississippi L 73-78 12%     4 - 6 +5.4 +0.3 +5.4
  Dec 17, 2016 175   @ South Dakota St. L 84-88 OT 34%     4 - 7 -1.9 +2.7 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2016 165   Wright St. L 62-77 51%     4 - 8 -17.5 -12.0 -5.9
  Dec 31, 2016 183   Tennessee St. W 92-83 54%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +5.6 +15.9 -10.7
  Jan 05, 2017 176   @ Jacksonville St. W 76-63 34%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +15.0 +18.6 -1.2
  Jan 07, 2017 259   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-71 53%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -7.1 -5.0 -2.1
  Jan 12, 2017 225   @ Eastern Illinois W 83-72 47%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +9.5 +9.2 +0.1
  Jan 14, 2017 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 67-59 70%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +0.3 -8.9 +9.2
  Jan 19, 2017 273   Eastern Kentucky W 86-79 75%     9 - 9 5 - 1 -2.3 +6.7 -9.2
  Jan 21, 2017 288   @ Austin Peay L 81-84 OT 62%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -8.4 -7.8 -0.3
  Jan 26, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. L 74-75 67%     9 - 11 5 - 3 -7.9 -1.9 -6.0
  Jan 28, 2017 211   Tennessee Martin W 94-86 63%     10 - 11 6 - 3 +2.4 +17.7 -15.2
  Feb 02, 2017 97   Belmont L 69-81 34%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -9.9 -3.0 -7.1
  Feb 08, 2017 203   @ Morehead St. L 100-101 OT 41%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -0.9 +10.4 -11.1
  Feb 11, 2017 288   Austin Peay W 102-58 78%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +33.5 +26.5 +10.1
  Feb 16, 2017 313   SIU Edwardsville W 84-73 84%     12 - 13 8 - 5 -1.7 +8.3 -9.8
  Feb 18, 2017 225   Eastern Illinois L 65-82 66%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -23.6 -1.3 -24.4
  Feb 23, 2017 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-82 48%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -14.8 -5.0 -10.1
  Feb 25, 2017 211   @ Tennessee Martin L 76-83 43%     12 - 16 8 - 8 -7.5 -1.6 -5.7
  Mar 01, 2017 259   Tennessee Tech W 85-84 2OT 63%     13 - 16 -4.6 -2.4 -2.4
  Mar 02, 2017 203   Morehead St. W 75-69 51%     14 - 16 +3.6 +3.3 +0.7
  Mar 03, 2017 211   Tennessee Martin L 67-73 53%     14 - 17 -9.1 -2.0 -7.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%