Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#154
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#163
Pace63.7#272
Improvement-3.4#314

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#167
First Shot+1.6#126
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#299
Layup/Dunks+2.1#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.2#350
Freethrows+3.3#16
Improvement-1.8#270

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#159
First Shot+0.4#154
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#170
Layups/Dunks+2.5#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
Freethrows-2.3#309
Improvement-1.6#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 7   @ Louisville L 47-78 4%     0 - 1 -9.2 -10.8 -1.2
  Nov 14, 2016 290   Alcorn St. W 82-59 85%     1 - 1 +12.3 +12.3 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2016 203   Morehead St. W 69-56 70%     2 - 1 +8.1 +12.0 -0.1
  Nov 25, 2016 132   Toledo L 79-83 2OT 46%     2 - 2 -2.3 -4.9 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2016 67   UNC Wilmington L 62-65 24%     2 - 3 +5.0 -6.6 +11.4
  Nov 27, 2016 56   Middle Tennessee L 55-66 20%     2 - 4 -1.4 -5.2 +2.2
  Dec 03, 2016 96   Boise St. W 72-67 44%     3 - 4 +7.2 -1.6 +8.7
  Dec 06, 2016 239   Bowling Green W 69-66 77%     4 - 4 -4.3 +2.2 -6.1
  Dec 10, 2016 202   Murray St. W 78-46 70%     5 - 4 +27.2 +4.6 +24.3
  Dec 14, 2016 293   Norfolk St. W 85-66 86%     6 - 4 +8.1 +14.7 -5.5
  Dec 17, 2016 288   @ Austin Peay W 77-69 72%     7 - 4 +2.6 +2.4 +0.7
  Dec 29, 2016 59   @ Illinois St. L 50-62 15%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -0.2 -9.7 +8.7
  Jan 01, 2017 153   Northern Iowa W 70-58 60%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +10.0 +1.1 +8.9
  Jan 04, 2017 199   Bradley L 63-74 69%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -15.7 -10.4 -5.2
  Jan 08, 2017 255   @ Drake L 76-88 63%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -14.9 +2.7 -17.9
  Jan 11, 2017 130   @ Missouri St. L 51-55 36%     8 - 8 1 - 4 +0.3 -12.5 +12.2
  Jan 14, 2017 144   Southern Illinois L 61-73 57%     8 - 9 1 - 5 -13.4 -10.7 -2.9
  Jan 17, 2017 9   Wichita St. L 65-82 8%     8 - 10 1 - 6 -1.0 +7.9 -11.0
  Jan 21, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-67 28%     8 - 11 1 - 7 +0.7 -2.5 +2.6
  Jan 25, 2017 153   @ Northern Iowa L 54-61 40%     8 - 12 1 - 8 -3.9 -7.6 +3.2
  Jan 29, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 59-69 28%     8 - 13 1 - 9 -3.3 -1.6 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2017 191   @ Indiana St. L 84-85 OT 48%     8 - 14 1 - 10 +0.0 +12.3 -12.3
  Feb 04, 2017 130   Missouri St. W 74-66 55%     9 - 14 2 - 10 +7.2 +8.5 -0.3
  Feb 08, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 60-58 46%     10 - 14 3 - 10 +3.6 -2.1 +6.1
  Feb 11, 2017 144   @ Southern Illinois W 75-70 38%     11 - 14 4 - 10 +8.7 +6.4 +2.5
  Feb 14, 2017 255   Drake W 87-70 79%     12 - 14 5 - 10 +9.0 +21.2 -9.8
  Feb 18, 2017 199   @ Bradley L 72-84 51%     12 - 15 5 - 11 -11.6 +7.6 -20.3
  Feb 21, 2017 9   @ Wichita St. L 83-109 4%     12 - 16 5 - 12 -4.9 +19.7 -24.5
  Feb 25, 2017 191   Indiana St. W 65-63 67%     13 - 16 6 - 12 -2.0 -5.4 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2017 191   Indiana St. W 83-72 58%     14 - 16 +9.5 +9.2 -0.1
  Mar 03, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 69-80 20%     14 - 17 -1.7 +4.9 -6.7
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%