Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#119
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#119
Pace66.1#221
Improvement+0.3#158

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#136
First Shot-2.5#249
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#8
Layup/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#338
Freethrows+3.1#23
Improvement-0.7#215

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#125
First Shot-0.1#167
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#39
Layups/Dunks+1.2#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#132
Freethrows-2.8#327
Improvement+1.0#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 109   @ George Mason W 67-61 37%     1 - 0 +12.0 -0.1 +12.4
  Nov 15, 2016 326   @ Morgan St. W 78-72 85%     2 - 0 -2.7 +7.4 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2016 43   @ Maryland L 66-71 15%     2 - 1 +8.9 +0.3 +8.5
  Nov 22, 2016 138   @ Boston College L 70-80 45%     2 - 2 -6.1 +3.7 -10.4
  Nov 25, 2016 208   Stony Brook W 88-63 78%     3 - 2 +19.5 +12.2 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2016 275   Robert Morris L 66-67 87%     3 - 3 -10.4 -1.1 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2016 131   Old Dominion L 58-60 63%     3 - 4 -2.8 -3.4 +0.3
  Dec 07, 2016 251   Loyola Maryland W 70-53 84%     4 - 4 +9.1 +1.0 +9.6
  Dec 10, 2016 277   Fairleigh Dickinson W 90-87 87%     5 - 4 -6.6 +6.3 -13.0
  Dec 17, 2016 197   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-72 58%     6 - 4 +1.4 +1.2 +0.3
  Dec 21, 2016 54   Nevada L 72-81 25%     6 - 5 +0.7 +6.1 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2016 127   Iona W 76-69 53%     7 - 5 +8.9 +0.8 +8.1
  Dec 31, 2016 67   UNC Wilmington L 67-76 39%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -3.5 -10.8 +7.7
  Jan 02, 2017 218   @ James Madison L 44-64 64%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -21.0 -19.5 -5.0
  Jan 05, 2017 93   @ College of Charleston L 57-62 32%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +2.4 -0.6 +2.1
  Jan 07, 2017 141   @ Elon L 61-72 46%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -7.2 -7.7 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2017 281   Delaware W 83-56 88%     8 - 9 1 - 4 +16.9 +13.6 +5.8
  Jan 14, 2017 168   Northeastern W 74-67 69%     9 - 9 2 - 4 +4.4 +9.9 -4.4
  Jan 19, 2017 187   @ Hofstra W 86-80 54%     10 - 9 3 - 4 +7.5 +10.4 -2.8
  Jan 21, 2017 281   @ Delaware W 75-58 77%     11 - 9 4 - 4 +11.9 +8.0 +5.7
  Jan 26, 2017 93   College of Charleston W 83-77 OT 51%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +8.3 +8.2 -0.2
  Jan 28, 2017 168   @ Northeastern L 62-69 51%     12 - 10 5 - 5 -4.5 -4.9 -0.3
  Feb 02, 2017 258   Drexel W 104-103 2OT 84%     13 - 10 6 - 5 -7.1 +3.6 -11.0
  Feb 04, 2017 142   William & Mary W 82-80 65%     14 - 10 7 - 5 +0.7 +1.0 -0.4
  Feb 09, 2017 187   Hofstra W 69-65 73%     15 - 10 8 - 5 +0.4 -2.9 +3.8
  Feb 11, 2017 258   @ Drexel W 69-65 71%     16 - 10 9 - 5 +0.9 -6.9 +7.8
  Feb 16, 2017 141   Elon W 85-66 65%     17 - 10 10 - 5 +17.7 +16.6 +1.8
  Feb 18, 2017 218   James Madison W 75-65 80%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +3.9 +9.4 -4.4
  Feb 23, 2017 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 78-83 23%     18 - 11 11 - 6 +5.5 +11.6 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2017 142   @ William & Mary L 79-83 46%     18 - 12 11 - 7 -0.3 +3.3 -3.6
  Mar 04, 2017 168   Northeastern W 82-54 60%     19 - 12 +28.0 +15.7 +14.9
  Mar 05, 2017 93   College of Charleston L 59-67 41%     19 - 13 -3.1 +1.2 -5.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%