Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Colonial Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#141
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#154
Pace68.5#155
Improvement+1.5#100

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#203
First Shot+0.2#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#283
Layup/Dunks-3.9#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#14
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement-3.8#337

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#97
First Shot+2.6#92
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks+3.7#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#239
Freethrows+2.8#33
Improvement+5.3#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 237   Charlotte L 95-100 79%     0 - 1 -12.2 +4.8 -16.4
  Nov 17, 2016 279   @ South Florida W 74-61 72%     1 - 1 +8.1 +3.5 +5.1
  Nov 23, 2016 247   Illinois-Chicago W 91-80 73%     2 - 1 +5.9 +12.4 -7.1
  Nov 25, 2016 204   @ Northern Illinois W 85-80 2OT 55%     3 - 1 +4.9 +6.9 -2.4
  Nov 26, 2016 301   Cal Poly W 72-66 83%     4 - 1 -3.0 +1.8 -4.0
  Nov 30, 2016 276   Florida International W 84-81 OT 84%     5 - 1 -6.4 -3.3 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2016 62   @ Georgetown L 74-77 17%     5 - 2 +8.3 +9.5 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2016 111   UNC Asheville L 67-78 53%     5 - 3 -10.4 -4.4 -6.3
  Dec 10, 2016 298   @ Radford L 56-68 76%     5 - 4 -18.2 -11.3 -8.2
  Dec 18, 2016 123   @ St. Peter's W 68-53 36%     6 - 4 +19.8 +9.5 +12.2
  Dec 21, 2016 10   Duke L 61-72 6%     6 - 5 +7.4 -4.6 +11.7
  Dec 31, 2016 93   College of Charleston L 54-66 46%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -9.7 -8.9 -2.4
  Jan 02, 2017 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 63-79 19%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -5.5 -4.7 -2.0
  Jan 05, 2017 142   @ William & Mary L 85-88 40%     6 - 8 0 - 3 +0.7 +7.1 -6.3
  Jan 07, 2017 119   Towson W 72-61 54%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +11.1 -0.3 +11.5
  Jan 12, 2017 187   Hofstra W 96-80 68%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +12.4 +9.6 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2017 218   @ James Madison L 59-60 59%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -2.0 +0.5 -2.8
  Jan 19, 2017 258   Drexel W 93-73 81%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +11.9 +10.7 +0.3
  Jan 21, 2017 142   William & Mary W 71-62 60%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +7.7 -10.3 +17.7
  Jan 26, 2017 168   @ Northeastern W 51-49 45%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +4.5 -17.1 +21.7
  Jan 28, 2017 187   @ Hofstra W 84-70 49%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +15.5 +7.8 +7.9
  Feb 02, 2017 218   James Madison W 67-61 76%     13 - 9 7 - 4 -0.1 +0.4 +0.2
  Feb 04, 2017 93   @ College of Charleston L 58-71 28%     13 - 10 7 - 5 -5.6 -8.4 +2.5
  Feb 09, 2017 281   @ Delaware L 74-76 OT 73%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -7.1 +1.5 -8.6
  Feb 11, 2017 67   UNC Wilmington W 77-76 34%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +6.5 +1.9 +4.6
  Feb 16, 2017 119   @ Towson L 66-85 35%     14 - 12 8 - 7 -13.8 -1.7 -12.9
  Feb 18, 2017 258   @ Drexel W 65-56 66%     15 - 12 9 - 7 +5.9 -9.5 +15.6
  Feb 23, 2017 168   Northeastern L 104-105 2OT 65%     15 - 13 9 - 8 -3.6 +11.1 -14.5
  Feb 25, 2017 281   Delaware W 81-59 86%     16 - 13 10 - 8 +11.9 +12.1 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2017 142   William & Mary L 66-71 50%     16 - 14 -3.8 -6.2 +2.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%