Pre-tourney Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#262
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#251
Pace59.0#337
Improvement-0.9#220

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#259
First Shot-7.1#327
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#9
Layup/Dunks-4.2#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#259
Freethrows-1.7#276
Improvement-2.4#290

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#243
First Shot-2.2#238
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#221
Layups/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
Freethrows-2.4#312
Improvement+1.5#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 84   @ Connecticut W 67-58 10%     1 - 0 +17.3 +9.4 +9.2
  Nov 14, 2016 291   @ Umass Lowell L 76-87 49%     1 - 1 -16.7 -7.3 -8.7
  Nov 19, 2016 212   Fairfield L 64-70 OT 50%     1 - 2 -11.8 -7.1 -4.8
  Nov 22, 2016 304   @ American W 73-65 53%     2 - 2 +1.5 +2.8 -0.8
  Nov 26, 2016 217   Rider L 67-70 51%     2 - 3 -9.1 -2.2 -7.1
  Nov 30, 2016 150   @ Massachusetts L 55-62 20%     2 - 4 -3.8 -2.2 -3.1
  Dec 06, 2016 83   Monmouth L 71-81 19%     2 - 5 -6.7 +5.4 -12.9
  Dec 10, 2016 326   @ Morgan St. W 68-66 61%     3 - 5 -6.7 +4.2 -10.7
  Dec 17, 2016 50   @ Providence L 54-76 5%     3 - 6 -9.1 -11.9 +3.3
  Dec 29, 2016 338   Central Connecticut St. W 71-46 86%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +7.7 +3.7 +8.7
  Dec 31, 2016 216   @ Mount St. Mary's L 56-57 32%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -2.0 -2.2 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2017 277   Fairleigh Dickinson L 69-70 64%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -10.6 -2.5 -8.2
  Jan 07, 2017 299   Sacred Heart W 75-64 70%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -0.3 -2.9 +2.5
  Jan 12, 2017 285   @ Bryant L 66-77 48%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -16.2 -7.7 -9.0
  Jan 14, 2017 275   Robert Morris W 53-50 64%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -6.4 -15.2 +9.0
  Jan 19, 2017 261   @ LIU Brooklyn L 69-76 40%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -10.3 +1.4 -12.3
  Jan 21, 2017 299   @ Sacred Heart W 67-62 52%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -1.3 +0.3 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2017 263   St. Francis (PA) L 67-72 60%     7 - 11 4 - 5 -13.5 -5.3 -8.6
  Jan 28, 2017 346   St. Francis Brooklyn W 66-64 90%     8 - 11 5 - 5 -17.8 -2.0 -15.4
  Feb 02, 2017 338   @ Central Connecticut St. W 70-60 73%     9 - 11 6 - 5 -2.2 +4.2 -4.7
  Feb 04, 2017 277   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-59 45%     10 - 11 7 - 5 +4.5 -1.9 +7.3
  Feb 09, 2017 263   @ St. Francis (PA) W 76-74 OT 41%     11 - 11 8 - 5 -1.4 -1.3 -0.2
  Feb 11, 2017 275   @ Robert Morris L 48-50 44%     11 - 12 8 - 6 -6.3 -14.3 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2017 216   Mount St. Mary's W 69-65 51%     12 - 12 9 - 6 -2.1 +3.5 -5.1
  Feb 18, 2017 346   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-55 80%     13 - 12 10 - 6 +3.3 -0.7 +4.8
  Feb 23, 2017 285   Bryant W 69-66 67%     14 - 12 11 - 6 -7.3 -5.7 -1.4
  Feb 25, 2017 261   LIU Brooklyn L 84-88 OT 60%     14 - 13 11 - 7 -12.3 +3.9 -16.1
  Mar 01, 2017 277   Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-70 64%     15 - 13 -7.6 +1.4 -8.7
  Mar 04, 2017 263   St. Francis (PA) L 70-71 60%     15 - 14 -9.5 +3.3 -12.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%