Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#50
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#44
Pace64.5#257
Improvement-1.4#246

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#82
First Shot+4.7#51
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#273
Layup/Dunks+1.3#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#77
Freethrows+1.5#80
Improvement+0.8#132

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#31
First Shot+6.3#29
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#111
Layups/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#36
Freethrows+3.7#15
Improvement-2.2#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 85.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.7% n/a n/a
First Round77.8% n/a n/a
Second Round28.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 75   Vermont W 80-58 70%     1 - 0 +26.8 +11.8 +15.6
  Nov 17, 2016 71   @ Ohio St. L 67-72 50%     1 - 1 +5.3 +2.4 +2.6
  Nov 19, 2016 331   Grambling St. W 71-54 98%     2 - 1 +2.1 -6.2 +9.1
  Nov 21, 2016 346   St. Francis Brooklyn W 64-48 99%     3 - 1 -3.8 -8.5 +6.5
  Nov 25, 2016 92   Memphis W 60-51 70%     4 - 1 +13.9 -6.3 +20.7
  Nov 26, 2016 11   Virginia L 52-63 24%     4 - 2 +6.9 +11.1 -8.3
  Nov 30, 2016 188   New Hampshire W 76-62 90%     5 - 2 +10.2 +7.6 +3.5
  Dec 03, 2016 49   Rhode Island W 63-60 58%     6 - 2 +11.3 +7.8 +4.1
  Dec 06, 2016 278   Brown W 95-57 96%     7 - 2 +28.3 +12.5 +15.1
  Dec 10, 2016 150   Massachusetts W 75-69 87%     8 - 2 +4.1 +0.7 +3.2
  Dec 17, 2016 262   Wagner W 76-54 95%     9 - 2 +13.6 -2.4 +15.5
  Dec 20, 2016 337   Maine W 79-59 99%     10 - 2 +3.0 -0.2 +3.0
  Dec 23, 2016 138   @ Boston College L 67-79 73%     10 - 3 -8.1 -7.0 -0.5
  Dec 28, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 56-82 37%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -12.1 -7.3 -7.0
  Jan 01, 2017 26   @ Butler L 61-78 24%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +0.8 +1.6 -2.6
  Jan 04, 2017 62   Georgetown W 76-70 66%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +12.2 +14.0 -1.2
  Jan 07, 2017 27   Creighton L 64-78 43%     11 - 6 1 - 3 -1.9 +4.9 -8.5
  Jan 10, 2017 152   @ DePaul L 63-64 76%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +2.1 -4.8 +6.8
  Jan 14, 2017 42   Seton Hall W 65-61 56%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +12.8 +7.9 +5.6
  Jan 16, 2017 62   @ Georgetown W 74-56 46%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +29.3 +12.4 +18.1
  Jan 21, 2017 2   Villanova L 68-78 14%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +12.1 +11.2 +0.1
  Jan 25, 2017 89   St. John's L 86-91 77%     13 - 9 3 - 6 -2.5 +8.4 -10.6
  Jan 28, 2017 28   @ Marquette W 79-78 30%     14 - 9 4 - 6 +16.8 +12.4 +4.5
  Feb 01, 2017 2   Villanova L 57-66 19%     14 - 10 4 - 7 +10.6 -0.7 +10.2
  Feb 08, 2017 42   @ Seton Hall L 70-72 OT 37%     14 - 11 4 - 8 +11.9 +4.3 +7.6
  Feb 11, 2017 26   Butler W 71-65 41%     15 - 11 5 - 8 +18.8 +12.4 +7.2
  Feb 15, 2017 41   Xavier W 75-63 56%     16 - 11 6 - 8 +20.8 +11.3 +10.6
  Feb 22, 2017 27   @ Creighton W 68-66 26%     17 - 11 7 - 8 +19.2 +11.5 +8.0
  Feb 25, 2017 28   Marquette W 73-69 48%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +14.8 +7.1 +8.1
  Feb 28, 2017 152   DePaul W 73-64 87%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +7.1 -1.2 +8.1
  Mar 04, 2017 89   @ St. John's W 86-75 61%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +18.5 +12.7 +5.4
  Mar 09, 2017 27   Creighton L 58-70 34%     20 - 12 +2.7 -8.6 +11.4
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 85.5% 85.5% 10.0 0.3 5.9 16.7 33.5 28.4 0.9 14.5 85.5%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 85.5% 0.0% 85.5% 10.0 0.3 5.9 16.7 33.5 28.4 0.9 14.5 85.5%