Pre-tourney Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Missouri Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#55
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#47
Pace63.6#314
Improvement+5.2#20

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#55
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#111

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#55
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.9#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round35.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 137   Wright St. W 84-80 85%     1 - 0 +2.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Nov 16, 2017 289   @ UMKC W 66-56 90%     2 - 0 +5.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Nov 19, 2017 287   Samford W 88-67 96%     3 - 0 +10.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Nov 21, 2017 348   Mississippi Valley W 63-50 99%     4 - 0 -7.7 -10.3 -10.3
  Nov 24, 2017 236   UNC Wilmington W 102-78 90%     5 - 0 +19.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2017 207   Kent St. W 75-60 87%     6 - 0 +12.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2017 61   @ Boise St. L 53-87 42%     6 - 1 -22.4 +5.8 +5.8
  Dec 02, 2017 199   Illinois-Chicago W 85-61 91%     7 - 1 +18.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 06, 2017 22   @ Florida W 65-59 24%     8 - 1 +22.8 +8.4 +8.4
  Dec 09, 2017 308   Norfolk St. W 80-52 97%     9 - 1 +16.0 -6.0 -6.0
  Dec 16, 2017 208   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 56-73 81%     9 - 2 -16.8 +0.1 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2017 124   @ Missouri St. L 59-64 65%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +0.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Dec 30, 2017 147   Evansville W 66-59 86%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +5.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 03, 2018 157   Indiana St. L 57-61 86%     10 - 4 1 - 2 -6.3 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 07, 2018 123   @ Northern Iowa W 56-50 65%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +11.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 10, 2018 139   @ Illinois St. W 68-61 68%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +11.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 13, 2018 131   Bradley W 81-65 84%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +15.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2018 142   Southern Illinois W 79-65 85%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +12.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 21, 2018 155   @ Valparaiso W 70-54 70%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +19.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 24, 2018 162   @ Drake W 80-57 72%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +26.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2018 123   Northern Iowa W 70-47 83%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +22.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 31, 2018 131   @ Bradley L 67-69 67%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +3.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 03, 2018 124   Missouri St. W 97-75 83%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +21.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 07, 2018 162   Drake W 72-57 87%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +12.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 10, 2018 157   @ Indiana St. W 75-71 71%     20 - 5 11 - 3 +7.7 +1.9 +1.9
  Feb 14, 2018 155   Valparaiso W 80-71 86%     21 - 5 12 - 3 +6.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 18, 2018 147   @ Evansville W 76-66 70%     22 - 5 13 - 3 +14.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 21, 2018 142   @ Southern Illinois W 75-56 69%     23 - 5 14 - 3 +23.3 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 24, 2018 139   Illinois St. W 68-61 85%     24 - 5 15 - 3 +5.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2018 123   Northern Iowa W 54-50 75%     25 - 5 +6.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2018 131   Bradley W 62-54 76%     26 - 5 +10.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Mar 04, 2018 139   Illinois St. W 65-49 78%     27 - 5 +17.5 +0.8 +0.8
Projected Record 27.0 - 5.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 8.2 74.9 15.3 0.2
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 8.2 74.9 15.3 0.2