Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#155
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#179
Pace72.3#91
Improvement-1.9#259

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.6#92

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.5#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2017 316   @ SIU Edwardsville W 94-69 76%     1 - 0 +18.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2017 187   SE Louisiana W 83-50 70%     2 - 0 +28.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2017 287   Samford W 88-67 86%     3 - 0 +10.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2017 207   Kent St. W 77-67 64%     4 - 0 +7.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 25, 2017 236   UNC Wilmington W 79-70 70%     5 - 0 +4.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 28, 2017 138   Utah St. W 72-65 59%     6 - 0 +5.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 07, 2017 4   @ Purdue L 50-80 4%     6 - 1 -8.9 +10.6 +10.6
  Dec 09, 2017 170   @ Ball St. L 70-71 43%     6 - 2 +1.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 14, 2017 79   @ Northwestern L 50-84 20%     6 - 3 -24.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Dec 18, 2017 261   @ Santa Clara W 76-68 65%     7 - 3 +5.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 20, 2017 275   @ UC Riverside L 60-73 67%     7 - 4 -16.7 -1.8 -1.8
  Dec 28, 2017 157   @ Indiana St. L 64-73 39%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -5.3 +1.9 +1.9
  Dec 31, 2017 124   Missouri St. L 50-67 56%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -17.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 03, 2018 131   @ Bradley L 71-80 34%     7 - 7 0 - 3 -4.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 06, 2018 142   Southern Illinois W 83-72 60%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +9.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 10, 2018 162   Drake W 77-60 63%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +14.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 13, 2018 123   @ Northern Iowa L 76-81 33%     9 - 8 2 - 4 +0.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 17, 2018 124   @ Missouri St. L 57-64 33%     9 - 9 2 - 5 -1.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 21, 2018 55   Loyola Chicago L 54-70 30%     9 - 10 2 - 6 -9.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 24, 2018 147   Evansville L 65-75 61%     9 - 11 2 - 7 -12.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 27, 2018 139   @ Illinois St. L 65-76 36%     9 - 12 2 - 8 -6.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 31, 2018 157   Indiana St. W 69-63 62%     10 - 12 3 - 8 +3.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2018 142   @ Southern Illinois L 59-65 37%     10 - 13 3 - 9 -1.7 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 07, 2018 147   @ Evansville L 59-63 38%     10 - 14 3 - 10 +0.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 11, 2018 139   Illinois St. W 74-58 59%     11 - 14 4 - 10 +14.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Feb 14, 2018 55   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-80 14%     11 - 15 4 - 11 +3.5 +6.3 +6.3
  Feb 17, 2018 131   Bradley W 77-64 57%     12 - 15 5 - 11 +12.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 20, 2018 123   Northern Iowa L 63-68 55%     12 - 16 5 - 12 -5.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 24, 2018 162   @ Drake W 69-64 40%     13 - 16 6 - 12 +8.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 01, 2018 124   Missouri St. L 79-83 44%     13 - 17 -1.6 +1.2 +1.2
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%