Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#83
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#81
Pace68.8#185
Improvement+3.9#38

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#83
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.1#46

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#83
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.8#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round18.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 204   @ Pittsburgh W 83-78 OT 72%     1 - 0 +5.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2017 28   @ Penn St. L 57-70 21%     1 - 1 +2.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Nov 20, 2017 232   Oral Roberts W 69-64 84%     2 - 1 +0.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 21, 2017 128   UC Santa Barbara L 73-80 66%     2 - 2 -4.9 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 29, 2017 78   @ Stanford L 54-70 37%     2 - 3 -6.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Dec 03, 2017 327   Cal St. Northridge W 86-68 96%     3 - 3 +3.9 -7.1 -7.1
  Dec 09, 2017 111   @ Georgia St. L 68-71 47%     3 - 4 +4.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 17, 2017 275   UC Riverside W 77-61 93%     4 - 4 +6.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2017 154   UC Irvine W 86-68 79%     5 - 4 +15.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 22, 2017 96   @ Washington L 63-66 44%     5 - 5 +5.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 28, 2017 330   @ Northern Arizona W 87-69 92%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +9.2 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 30, 2017 267   @ Southern Utah W 79-49 82%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +26.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 04, 2018 247   North Dakota W 109-79 91%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +21.9 -4.1 -4.1
  Jan 06, 2018 117   Northern Colorado W 89-80 72%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +9.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Jan 11, 2018 290   @ Sacramento St. W 78-66 85%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +7.3 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 13, 2018 171   @ Portland St. W 92-89 65%     11 - 5 6 - 0 +5.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 20, 2018 274   @ Montana St. W 67-52 83%     12 - 5 7 - 0 +11.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 25, 2018 267   Southern Utah W 71-47 92%     13 - 5 8 - 0 +14.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 27, 2018 330   Northern Arizona W 82-64 97%     14 - 5 9 - 0 +3.2 -7.4 -7.4
  Feb 01, 2018 117   @ Northern Colorado W 88-79 50%     15 - 5 10 - 0 +15.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 03, 2018 247   @ North Dakota W 72-67 79%     16 - 5 11 - 0 +2.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 08, 2018 171   Portland St. W 80-60 82%     17 - 5 12 - 0 +16.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 10, 2018 290   Sacramento St. W 71-69 OT 94%     18 - 5 13 - 0 -8.7 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 15, 2018 140   @ Eastern Washington L 65-74 58%     18 - 6 13 - 1 -4.6 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 17, 2018 141   @ Idaho L 77-79 OT 58%     18 - 7 13 - 2 +2.4 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 24, 2018 274   Montana St. W 90-63 93%     19 - 7 14 - 2 +17.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Mar 01, 2018 167   Weber St. W 75-57 81%     20 - 7 15 - 2 +15.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 03, 2018 240   Idaho St. W 75-64 90%     21 - 7 16 - 2 +3.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Mar 08, 2018 247   North Dakota W 84-76 86%     22 - 7 +2.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2018 117   Northern Colorado W 91-89 OT 62%     23 - 7 +5.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 10, 2018 140   Eastern Washington W 82-65 69%     24 - 7 +18.4 +0.7 +0.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.4 21.7 70.7 7.2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.4 21.7 70.7 7.2