Pre-tourney Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#96
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#67
Pace71.7#106
Improvement-0.3#193

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#96
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.4#320

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#96
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.1#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.8% n/a n/a
First Round1.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 91   Belmont W 86-82 59%     1 - 0 +6.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Nov 12, 2017 140   Eastern Washington W 79-69 74%     2 - 0 +8.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2017 57   Providence L 70-77 35%     2 - 1 +2.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2017 31   Virginia Tech L 79-103 26%     2 - 2 -12.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2017 190   Seattle W 89-84 83%     3 - 2 +0.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Nov 26, 2017 148   UC Davis W 77-70 75%     4 - 2 +5.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 28, 2017 307   Kennesaw St. W 85-71 93%     5 - 2 +2.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2017 282   Nebraska Omaha W 86-73 92%     6 - 2 +2.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Dec 06, 2017 8   @ Kansas W 74-65 9%     7 - 2 +28.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Dec 10, 2017 9   Gonzaga L 70-97 22%     7 - 3 -13.7 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 17, 2017 231   Loyola Marymount W 80-78 87%     8 - 3 -5.1 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 19, 2017 298   Bethune-Cookman W 106-55 93%     9 - 3 +39.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 22, 2017 83   Montana W 66-63 56%     10 - 3 +6.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Dec 29, 2017 36   @ USC W 88-81 19%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +21.3 +7.2 +7.2
  Dec 31, 2017 44   @ UCLA L 53-74 21%     11 - 4 1 - 1 -7.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Jan 06, 2018 181   @ Washington St. W 70-65 62%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +7.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 11, 2018 233   California W 66-56 87%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +2.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2018 78   Stanford L 64-73 55%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -5.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 18, 2018 62   @ Utah L 62-70 27%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +3.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Jan 20, 2018 107   @ Colorado W 72-62 41%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +17.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 28, 2018 181   Washington St. W 80-62 81%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +13.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 01, 2018 48   Arizona St. W 68-64 43%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +10.9 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 03, 2018 20   Arizona W 78-75 29%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +13.9 +5.5 +5.5
  Feb 08, 2018 65   @ Oregon L 40-65 28%     17 - 7 7 - 4 -13.8 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 10, 2018 90   @ Oregon St. L 94-97 2OT 36%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +5.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 15, 2018 62   Utah L 58-70 48%     17 - 9 7 - 6 -6.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 17, 2018 107   Colorado W 82-59 64%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +24.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 22, 2018 78   @ Stanford L 78-94 32%     18 - 10 8 - 7 -6.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 24, 2018 233   @ California W 68-51 72%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +15.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Mar 01, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 79-77 59%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +4.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Mar 03, 2018 65   Oregon L 64-72 50%     20 - 11 10 - 8 -2.8 +2.6 +2.6
  Mar 07, 2018 90   Oregon St. L 66-69 OT 47%     20 - 12 +2.7 +2.9 +2.9
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 4.9% 4.9% 11.2 0.1 4.0 0.8 95.1 4.9%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 0.0% 4.9% 11.2 0.1 4.0 0.8 95.1 4.9%