Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#116
Pace69.9#157
Improvement+1.0#140

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#122
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.3#169

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#122
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.7#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 110   Saint Joseph's W 98-87 56%     1 - 0 +12.3 +0.6 +0.6
  Nov 18, 2017 175   Oakland W 87-74 74%     2 - 0 +9.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2017 54   @ Syracuse L 64-72 18%     2 - 1 +4.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Nov 24, 2017 252   @ Cornell L 77-80 70%     2 - 2 -5.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 28, 2017 8   @ Kansas L 58-96 7%     2 - 3 -18.2 +9.9 +9.9
  Dec 02, 2017 257   Texas Southern W 71-69 86%     3 - 3 -6.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 06, 2017 322   @ Detroit Mercy W 89-86 83%     4 - 3 -4.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 09, 2017 115   Marshall L 87-93 59%     4 - 4 -5.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 16, 2017 137   Wright St. L 69-77 66%     4 - 5 -9.4 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 20, 2017 336   Jackson St. W 83-57 96%     5 - 5 +9.2 -8.4 -8.4
  Dec 23, 2017 300   @ Cleveland St. W 77-62 78%     6 - 5 +9.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 29, 2017 120   @ Penn W 85-72 37%     7 - 5 +19.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 02, 2018 73   @ Buffalo L 94-104 24%     7 - 6 0 - 1 +0.4 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 05, 2018 251   Akron W 67-65 85%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -6.5 -4.3 -4.3
  Jan 09, 2018 188   Western Michigan W 84-61 76%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +18.3 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 13, 2018 178   @ Central Michigan W 93-82 53%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +13.1 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 16, 2018 196   @ Ohio W 91-57 58%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +34.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 20, 2018 207   Kent St. W 72-65 80%     12 - 6 5 - 1 +1.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 23, 2018 188   @ Western Michigan W 85-81 56%     13 - 6 6 - 1 +5.3 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2018 238   Bowling Green W 101-75 83%     14 - 6 7 - 1 +18.5 -3.7 -3.7
  Jan 30, 2018 170   Ball St. L 63-75 72%     14 - 7 7 - 2 -15.3 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 03, 2018 251   @ Akron W 77-56 70%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +18.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2018 250   Northern Illinois W 82-77 85%     16 - 7 9 - 2 -3.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 09, 2018 192   @ Miami (OH) W 73-67 57%     17 - 7 10 - 2 +7.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 13, 2018 196   Ohio W 82-74 78%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +2.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 17, 2018 170   @ Ball St. L 71-99 50%     18 - 8 11 - 3 -25.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 20, 2018 143   @ Eastern Michigan L 79-85 45%     18 - 9 11 - 4 -1.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 23, 2018 178   Central Michigan W 89-76 74%     19 - 9 12 - 4 +9.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 27, 2018 250   @ Northern Illinois W 97-67 70%     20 - 9 13 - 4 +27.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2018 143   Eastern Michigan L 69-71 68%     20 - 10 13 - 5 -3.9 -0.9 -0.9
  Mar 08, 2018 192   Miami (OH) W 71-69 68%     21 - 10 +0.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Mar 09, 2018 143   Eastern Michigan W 64-63 57%     22 - 10 +2.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 10, 2018 73   Buffalo L 66-76 33%     22 - 11 -2.6 +3.7 +3.7
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%