Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn
Ivy League
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#120
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#105
Pace71.1#121
Improvement+3.4#53

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#120
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.6#30

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#120
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.2#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round74.1% n/a n/a
Second Round6.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 206   @ Fairfield L 72-80 61%     0 - 1 -7.7 +0.1 +0.1
  Nov 13, 2017 151   La Salle L 71-75 2OT 69%     0 - 2 -6.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2017 221   Navy W 66-45 82%     1 - 2 +14.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2017 250   Northern Illinois W 93-80 80%     2 - 2 +7.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2017 163   Towson L 71-79 61%     2 - 3 -7.6 +0.2 +0.2
  Nov 22, 2017 289   UMKC W 68-65 85%     3 - 3 -4.6 -3.8 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2017 180   @ Monmouth W 101-96 4OT 55%     4 - 3 +7.1 +1.0 +1.0
  Nov 29, 2017 1   @ Villanova L 62-90 3%     4 - 4 -3.4 +12.3 +12.3
  Dec 04, 2017 335   @ Howard W 81-68 90%     5 - 4 +2.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Dec 06, 2017 272   @ Lafayette W 73-68 74%     6 - 4 +1.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 09, 2017 158   @ Dayton W 78-70 49%     7 - 4 +11.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 27, 2017 350   Delaware St. W 105-52 98%     8 - 4 +30.6 -11.2 -11.2
  Dec 29, 2017 122   Toledo L 72-85 63%     8 - 5 -13.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 06, 2018 184   Princeton W 76-70 76%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +1.7 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 12, 2018 252   Cornell W 69-61 86%     10 - 5 2 - 0 -0.6 -4.3 -4.3
  Jan 13, 2018 227   Columbia W 77-71 83%     11 - 5 3 - 0 -0.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 20, 2018 87   Temple L 51-60 51%     11 - 6 -6.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 27, 2018 110   Saint Joseph's W 67-56 58%     12 - 6 +12.3 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 02, 2018 263   Brown W 95-90 OT 87%     13 - 6 4 - 0 -4.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 03, 2018 186   Yale W 59-50 77%     14 - 6 5 - 0 +4.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2018 184   @ Princeton W 82-65 56%     15 - 6 6 - 0 +18.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 09, 2018 285   @ Dartmouth W 64-61 76%     16 - 6 7 - 0 -1.3 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 10, 2018 133   @ Harvard L 67-76 44%     16 - 7 7 - 1 -4.1 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 16, 2018 227   @ Columbia W 74-62 65%     17 - 7 8 - 1 +11.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 17, 2018 252   @ Cornell W 79-71 71%     18 - 7 9 - 1 +5.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 23, 2018 285   Dartmouth W 74-46 89%     19 - 7 10 - 1 +17.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 24, 2018 133   Harvard W 74-71 66%     20 - 7 11 - 1 +1.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2018 186   @ Yale L 79-80 56%     20 - 8 11 - 2 +0.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Mar 03, 2018 263   @ Brown W 99-93 73%     21 - 8 12 - 2 +3.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Mar 10, 2018 186   Yale W 80-57 77%     22 - 8 +18.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Mar 11, 2018 133   @ Harvard W 68-65 44%     23 - 8 +7.9 +2.4 +2.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 74.1% 74.1% 14.5 1.9 34.7 35.9 1.6 25.9
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 74.1% 74.1% 0.0% 14.5 1.9 34.7 35.9 1.6 25.9 0.0%