Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.1#4
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#8
Pace68.3#196
Improvement-5.3#335

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#4
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.6#150

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#4
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-5.8#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.8% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 24.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 69.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight43.0% n/a n/a
Final Four23.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game12.3% n/a n/a
National Champion6.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 316   SIU Edwardsville W 105-74 99%     1 - 0 +18.4 -6.3 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2017 346   Chicago St. W 111-42 99.7%    2 - 0 +49.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Nov 14, 2017 49   @ Marquette W 86-71 69%     3 - 0 +27.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 18, 2017 206   Fairfield W 106-64 98%     4 - 0 +36.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 22, 2017 14   Tennessee L 75-78 OT 62%     4 - 1 +11.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Nov 23, 2017 71   Western Kentucky L 73-77 84%     4 - 2 +3.7 +3.8 +3.8
  Nov 24, 2017 20   Arizona W 89-64 66%     5 - 2 +39.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Nov 28, 2017 27   Louisville W 66-57 80%     6 - 2 +18.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 01, 2017 45   @ Maryland W 80-75 67%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +18.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Dec 03, 2017 79   Northwestern W 74-69 90%     8 - 2 2 - 0 +8.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2017 155   Valparaiso W 80-50 96%     9 - 2 +27.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2017 284   IUPUI W 86-61 99%     10 - 2 +14.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Dec 16, 2017 24   Butler W 82-67 70%     11 - 2 +27.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 21, 2017 209   Tennessee St. W 97-48 98%     12 - 2 +43.1 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 30, 2017 169   Lipscomb W 98-66 96%     13 - 2 +29.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 03, 2018 121   Rutgers W 82-51 94%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +31.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 06, 2018 51   Nebraska W 74-62 86%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +18.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2018 10   @ Michigan W 70-69 46%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +20.2 +9.6 +9.6
  Jan 13, 2018 109   @ Minnesota W 81-47 84%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +41.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 16, 2018 64   Wisconsin W 78-50 88%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +33.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 20, 2018 86   @ Iowa W 87-64 80%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +32.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2018 10   Michigan W 92-88 68%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +17.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 28, 2018 66   @ Indiana W 74-67 75%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +18.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 31, 2018 45   Maryland W 75-67 84%     22 - 2 11 - 0 +15.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 03, 2018 121   @ Rutgers W 78-76 87%     23 - 2 12 - 0 +8.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Feb 07, 2018 17   Ohio St. L 63-64 75%     23 - 3 12 - 1 +10.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 10, 2018 6   @ Michigan St. L 65-68 39%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +17.9 +10.5 +10.5
  Feb 15, 2018 64   @ Wisconsin L 53-57 74%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +7.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Feb 18, 2018 28   Penn St. W 76-73 80%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +12.1 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 22, 2018 94   @ Illinois W 93-86 82%     25 - 5 14 - 3 +15.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 25, 2018 109   Minnesota W 84-60 93%     26 - 5 15 - 3 +25.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2018 121   Rutgers W 82-75 91%     27 - 5 +10.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Mar 03, 2018 28   Penn St. W 78-70 72%     28 - 5 +20.1 +6.1 +6.1
  Mar 04, 2018 10   Michigan L 66-75 57%     28 - 6 +7.2 +8.1 +8.1
Projected Record 28.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.1 24.9 44.9 27.4 2.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.1 24.9 44.9 27.4 2.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%