Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.7#3
Expected Predictive Rating+25.8#1
Pace53.4#351
Improvement-0.3#197

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#3
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.3#167

Defense
Total Defense+10.3#3
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.6#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 46.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 90.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen81.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight60.7% n/a n/a
Final Four39.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game25.5% n/a n/a
National Champion15.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 88   UNC Greensboro W 60-48 94%     1 - 0 +14.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2017 200   Austin Peay W 93-49 98%     2 - 0 +38.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Nov 17, 2017 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 76-67 92%     3 - 0 +14.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2017 180   Monmouth W 73-53 98%     4 - 0 +16.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 23, 2017 84   Vanderbilt W 68-42 90%     5 - 0 +32.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 24, 2017 50   Rhode Island W 70-55 84%     6 - 0 +24.8 +4.9 +4.9
  Nov 27, 2017 64   Wisconsin W 49-37 92%     7 - 0 +17.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 02, 2017 220   Lehigh W 75-54 99%     8 - 0 +14.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 05, 2017 11   @ West Virginia L 61-68 57%     8 - 1 +12.0 +9.5 +9.5
  Dec 16, 2017 53   Davidson W 80-60 90%     9 - 1 +26.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Dec 19, 2017 324   Savannah St. W 78-47 99.5%    10 - 1 +17.5 -6.7 -6.7
  Dec 22, 2017 258   Hampton W 82-48 99%     11 - 1 +25.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 30, 2017 68   Boston College W 59-58 92%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +5.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 03, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech W 78-52 71%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +40.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2018 7   North Carolina W 61-49 72%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +26.7 +7.3 +7.3
  Jan 09, 2018 54   Syracuse W 68-61 90%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +13.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 14, 2018 39   North Carolina St. W 68-51 88%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +25.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 18, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech W 64-48 89%     17 - 1 6 - 0 +23.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 21, 2018 89   @ Wake Forest W 59-49 86%     18 - 1 7 - 0 +18.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 23, 2018 21   Clemson W 61-36 82%     19 - 1 8 - 0 +35.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 27, 2018 2   @ Duke W 65-63 38%     20 - 1 9 - 0 +25.8 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 31, 2018 27   Louisville W 74-64 86%     21 - 1 10 - 0 +19.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 03, 2018 54   @ Syracuse W 59-44 78%     22 - 1 11 - 0 +27.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Feb 07, 2018 33   @ Florida St. W 59-55 72%     23 - 1 12 - 0 +18.8 +7.4 +7.4
  Feb 10, 2018 31   Virginia Tech L 60-61 OT 86%     23 - 2 12 - 1 +7.9 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 13, 2018 38   @ Miami (FL) W 59-50 74%     24 - 2 13 - 1 +23.1 +7.1 +7.1
  Feb 21, 2018 108   Georgia Tech W 65-54 95%     25 - 2 14 - 1 +12.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 24, 2018 204   @ Pittsburgh W 66-37 96%     26 - 2 15 - 1 +29.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2018 27   @ Louisville W 67-66 70%     27 - 2 16 - 1 +16.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Mar 03, 2018 32   Notre Dame W 62-57 86%     28 - 2 17 - 1 +13.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Mar 08, 2018 27   Louisville W 75-58 79%     29 - 2 +29.2 +6.1 +6.1
  Mar 09, 2018 21   Clemson W 64-58 74%     30 - 2 +19.9 +6.9 +6.9
  Mar 10, 2018 7   North Carolina W 71-63 61%     31 - 2 +25.7 +8.9 +8.9
Projected Record 31.0 - 2.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 90.7 9.3 0.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.1 90.7 9.3 0.0