Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#27
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#40
Pace72.0#100
Improvement+0.0#186

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#27
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.3#39

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#27
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.3#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.7% n/a n/a
First Round11.8% n/a n/a
Second Round5.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2017 205   George Mason W 72-61 94%     1 - 0 +5.3 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2017 282   Nebraska Omaha W 87-78 97%     2 - 0 -1.2 -5.1 -5.1
  Nov 21, 2017 142   Southern Illinois W 84-42 90%     3 - 0 +40.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Nov 24, 2017 212   St. Francis (PA) W 84-72 95%     4 - 0 +5.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 28, 2017 4   @ Purdue L 57-66 20%     4 - 1 +12.1 +10.6 +10.6
  Dec 03, 2017 25   Seton Hall L 77-79 61%     4 - 2 +7.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 06, 2017 296   Siena W 86-60 97%     5 - 2 +15.0 -5.5 -5.5
  Dec 09, 2017 66   Indiana W 71-62 76%     6 - 2 +13.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 11, 2017 343   Bryant W 102-59 99%     7 - 2 +24.9 -9.1 -9.1
  Dec 16, 2017 135   Memphis W 81-72 84%     8 - 2 +10.7 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 20, 2017 145   Albany W 70-68 90%     9 - 2 +0.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 23, 2017 116   Grand Canyon W 74-56 86%     10 - 2 +18.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2017 16   @ Kentucky L 61-90 30%     10 - 3 -11.3 +8.8 +8.8
  Jan 02, 2018 204   Pittsburgh W 77-51 94%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +20.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Jan 06, 2018 21   @ Clemson L 69-74 OT 32%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +11.9 +8.4 +8.4
  Jan 10, 2018 33   @ Florida St. W 73-69 40%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +18.8 +7.4 +7.4
  Jan 13, 2018 31   Virginia Tech W 94-86 63%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +16.9 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2018 32   @ Notre Dame W 82-78 2OT 40%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +18.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Jan 21, 2018 68   Boston College W 77-69 76%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +12.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 24, 2018 38   @ Miami (FL) L 75-78 OT 43%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +11.1 +7.1 +7.1
  Jan 27, 2018 89   Wake Forest W 96-77 81%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +21.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 31, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 64-74 14%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +13.7 +11.9 +11.9
  Feb 03, 2018 33   Florida St. L 76-80 63%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +4.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 05, 2018 54   Syracuse L 73-78 71%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +1.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 08, 2018 108   Georgia Tech W 77-54 84%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +24.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 11, 2018 204   @ Pittsburgh W 94-60 86%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +34.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 17, 2018 7   North Carolina L 76-93 40%     18 - 9 8 - 6 -2.3 +7.3 +7.3
  Feb 21, 2018 2   @ Duke L 56-82 14%     18 - 10 8 - 7 -2.2 +11.9 +11.9
  Feb 24, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech W 75-68 40%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +21.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Mar 01, 2018 3   Virginia L 66-67 30%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +16.7 +8.8 +8.8
  Mar 03, 2018 39   @ North Carolina St. L 69-76 43%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +7.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Mar 07, 2018 33   Florida St. W 82-74 52%     20 - 12 +19.8 +5.9 +5.9
  Mar 08, 2018 3   Virginia L 58-75 21%     20 - 13 +3.7 +10.3 +10.3
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 20.0% 20.0% 11.2 0.0 0.3 16.0 3.6 0.0 80.0 20.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 11.2 0.0 0.3 16.0 3.6 0.0 80.0 20.0%