Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
233 St. Francis (PA) 19.9%   16   11 - 11 9 - 4 14 - 13 12 - 6 -4.5      +1.3 137 -5.7 324 69.9 151 -3.5 212 -2.0 1
250 Sacred Heart 15.8%   11 - 14 8 - 5 14 - 16 11 - 7 -5.2      -1.0 210 -4.3 289 78.0 24 -6.3 257 -4.7 3
254 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.8%   10 - 13 7 - 6 13 - 15 10 - 8 -5.4      0.0 179 -5.4 314 68.8 186 -6.1 256 -5.5 4
269 St. Francis Brooklyn 12.2%   13 - 11 7 - 6 16 - 13 10 - 8 -6.2      -5.5 306 -0.7 191 69.6 162 -3.7 215 -5.6 5
273 Robert Morris 11.9%   11 - 13 8 - 5 13 - 16 10 - 8 -6.4      -6.6 323 +0.2 167 67.9 206 -6.6 265 -4.7 2
277 Wagner 10.7%   10 - 12 7 - 6 13 - 14 10 - 8 -6.5      -6.4 321 -0.1 175 61.9 335 -5.6 248 -6.1 6
278 LIU Brooklyn 7.4%   10 - 14 5 - 8 13 - 16 8 - 10 -6.6      -3.0 261 -3.6 269 76.7 33 -8.4 287 -10.2 9
300 Central Connecticut St. 4.9%   9 - 15 5 - 8 11 - 18 7 - 11 -8.1      -3.6 278 -4.4 293 70.2 143 -7.9 280 -10.0 8
326 Bryant 1.6%   8 - 16 5 - 8 10 - 19 7 - 11 -10.9      -3.0 260 -7.9 344 69.2 172 -10.0 308 -9.9 7
328 Mount St. Mary's 0.7%   5 - 19 4 - 9 7 - 22 6 - 12 -11.3      -6.7 325 -4.6 295 68.2 204 -12.8 327 -12.2 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
St. Francis (PA) 1.5 72.7 15.1 6.5 3.5 1.5 0.7 0.1
Sacred Heart 2.8 24.5 27.5 18.4 13.4 9.5 5.4 1.4 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.4 11.7 25.2 21.0 17.0 12.8 8.5 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 3.6 10.6 18.4 20.5 20.1 16.6 9.4 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
Robert Morris 3.2 17.8 23.1 19.2 16.0 12.4 8.7 2.7 0.2
Wagner 4.1 7.9 15.0 16.8 17.3 17.8 17.2 6.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 6.9 0.0 0.7 2.1 4.4 8.7 16.1 32.1 21.2 12.3 2.4
Central Connecticut St. 7.3 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.4 7.2 11.9 26.2 28.1 16.0 5.0
Bryant 8.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 7.1 16.8 27.6 30.4 13.4
Mount St. Mary's 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 6.1 15.2 23.9 51.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Francis (PA) 12 - 6 1.6 9.1 24.2 33.1 24.4 7.5
Sacred Heart 11 - 7 3.3 15.1 29.2 31.0 17.2 4.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 10 - 8 1.0 6.8 20.2 33.2 28.3 10.5
St. Francis Brooklyn 10 - 8 1.0 7.7 24.4 36.2 24.5 6.3
Robert Morris 10 - 8 5.1 20.1 32.8 27.2 12.5 2.3
Wagner 10 - 8 3.2 14.2 28.7 31.0 18.2 4.7
LIU Brooklyn 8 - 10 2.1 12.4 28.7 33.7 18.8 4.3
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 11 3.9 18.3 32.3 29.0 13.9 2.7
Bryant 7 - 11 11.0 31.1 34.5 18.1 4.9 0.5
Mount St. Mary's 6 - 12 13.3 31.4 31.9 17.6 5.3 0.6




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Francis (PA) 72.7% 47.9 15.9 6.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 24.5% 8.7 9.0 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 11.7% 2.1 4.5 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 10.6% 2.3 3.6 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 17.8% 6.3 6.1 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Wagner 7.9% 1.5 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Bryant
Mount St. Mary's


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Francis (PA) 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 2.4 17.3 80.2 0.0%
Sacred Heart 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 0.5 15.3 84.2 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 14.1 85.2 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 11.6 87.8 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.2 11.6 88.1 0.0%
Wagner 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 10.4 89.3 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.1 7.4 92.6 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 4.9 95.1 0.0%
Bryant 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
St. Francis (PA) 19.9% 11.1% 14.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 15.8% 12.9% 9.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 14.8% 11.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 12.2% 8.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.9% 10.4% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 10.7% 8.9% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 7.4% 6.8% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 4.9% 4.7% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 62.1% 0.6 37.9 62.1
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0