Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
215 St. Francis (PA) 22.5%   16   2 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 13 12 - 6 -3.1      +1.8 122 -4.9 304 70.3 168 -6.0 247 0.0 1
243 LIU Brooklyn 14.1%   4 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 13 10 - 8 -5.0      -1.6 224 -3.4 274 76.7 46 -2.7 197 0.0 1
260 Wagner 12.8%   2 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 14 10 - 8 -5.6      -3.7 280 -1.9 226 66.4 268 -4.7 228 0.0 1
263 Central Connecticut St. 11.7%   3 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 15 10 - 8 -5.8      -0.7 188 -5.2 311 66.5 264 -5.5 237 0.0 1
265 Fairleigh Dickinson 11.9%   1 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 15 10 - 8 -5.9      -2.3 242 -3.6 281 73.2 108 -9.6 284 0.0 1
281 Robert Morris 8.8%   3 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 17 9 - 9 -6.8      -6.1 323 -0.7 180 70.2 172 -10.6 295 0.0 1
288 Sacred Heart 8.1%   3 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -7.1      -1.8 229 -5.3 312 74.8 81 -6.2 251 0.0 1
291 St. Francis Brooklyn 8.0%   3 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 15 9 - 9 -7.2      -4.4 294 -2.8 258 71.4 138 -2.9 198 0.0 1
335 Bryant 1.2%   2 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 12 -12.6      -3.7 278 -8.9 352 72.7 118 -11.2 300 0.0 1
340 Mount St. Mary's 0.8%   0 - 9 0 - 0 5 - 24 5 - 13 -13.4      -8.6 338 -4.7 302 73.8 95 -21.8 351 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
St. Francis (PA) 3.0 32.9 19.7 14.0 10.5 7.9 6.0 4.3 2.8 1.4 0.5
LIU Brooklyn 3.9 19.0 16.4 14.4 12.6 10.7 9.4 7.7 5.5 3.2 1.3
Wagner 4.3 16.1 14.6 13.2 12.1 11.3 10.2 8.7 7.0 4.5 2.2
Central Connecticut St. 4.4 14.5 14.3 13.7 12.7 11.8 10.6 8.9 6.9 4.4 2.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.5 15.0 13.7 12.9 12.0 11.1 10.5 9.3 7.7 5.2 2.6
Robert Morris 4.9 9.7 11.3 12.0 12.6 12.6 12.1 11.2 9.5 6.1 2.9
Sacred Heart 5.1 8.9 10.4 11.5 12.0 12.2 12.3 11.6 10.5 7.2 3.5
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.2 8.8 10.0 11.1 11.7 12.0 12.1 11.8 10.8 7.7 4.0
Bryant 8.0 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.5 5.2 7.5 11.0 16.0 24.7 27.7
Mount St. Mary's 8.4 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 4.1 6.2 9.4 15.0 24.8 35.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Francis (PA) 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.5 5.7 8.3 11.1 13.2 14.3 13.6 11.5 8.1 4.7 2.0 0.5
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.1 6.7 9.4 11.7 13.2 13.6 12.6 10.2 7.3 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.1
Wagner 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.3 8.0 10.3 12.1 13.2 12.6 11.1 8.9 6.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.5 7.9 10.8 12.6 13.5 13.2 11.2 8.5 5.6 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.9 5.9 8.5 10.6 12.2 12.7 12.5 10.6 8.3 5.6 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
Robert Morris 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.3 10.3 12.5 13.7 13.6 11.8 9.2 6.3 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.0 5.4 8.1 10.9 12.6 13.5 13.0 11.3 8.5 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 5.8 8.3 10.9 12.7 13.4 12.7 10.7 8.3 5.6 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
Bryant 6 - 12 0.9 3.4 7.3 11.4 14.0 15.2 14.1 11.6 8.9 5.9 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 5 - 13 1.3 4.5 9.4 13.4 15.9 15.3 13.3 10.3 7.2 4.6 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Francis (PA) 32.9% 22.8 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 19.0% 11.9 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Wagner 16.1% 9.9 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 14.5% 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 15.0% 9.3 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 9.7% 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 8.9% 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.8% 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bryant 0.7% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Francis (PA) 22.5% 22.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 7.2 12.2 77.5 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.7 10.9 85.9 0.0%
Wagner 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 9.9 87.2 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 9.5 88.3 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 10.2 88.1 0.0%
Robert Morris 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 8.4 91.2 0.0%
Sacred Heart 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.4 91.9 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.0 6.9 92.0 0.0%
Bryant 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
St. Francis (PA) 22.5% 6.7% 19.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.1% 7.4% 10.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 12.8% 7.0% 9.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 11.7% 6.8% 8.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 11.9% 8.0% 8.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 8.8% 7.4% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 8.1% 5.9% 5.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.0% 5.3% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 71.3% 0.7 28.7 71.3 0.0
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0