Wagner
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Achievement Rating-4.8#228
Pace66.7#260
Improvement+1.8#56

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#275
First Shot-6.4#324
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#40
Layup/Dunks-10.6#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#102
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement-0.3#203

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#233
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#46
Layups/Dunks+2.7#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#214
Freethrows-4.2#334
Improvement+2.2#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 20.0% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 43.9% 73.0% 42.7%
.500 or above in Conference 69.5% 83.8% 68.9%
Conference Champion 15.6% 26.2% 15.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.4% 4.0%
First Four6.6% 5.7% 6.6%
First Round9.1% 17.2% 8.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 56   @ Seton Hall L 49-89 6%     0 - 1 -28.1 -15.8 -13.9
  Nov 10, 2018 275   @ Umass Lowell L 84-88 41%     0 - 2 -7.3 +3.2 -10.4
  Nov 17, 2018 246   @ Fairfield W 79-73 36%     1 - 2 +3.9 +1.6 +2.2
  Nov 20, 2018 200   NJIT L 60-71 49%     1 - 3 -16.4 -13.4 -3.2
  Nov 24, 2018 127   Rider L 65-89 30%     1 - 4 -24.1 -13.9 -8.7
  Nov 30, 2018 194   @ American W 64-58 26%     2 - 4 +7.0 +1.3 +6.7
  Dec 16, 2018 45   @ St. John's L 66-85 4%    
  Dec 22, 2018 201   Hartford L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 29, 2018 102   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 03, 2019 264   @ Central Connecticut St. L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 05, 2019 281   St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 10, 2019 296   Sacred Heart W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 12, 2019 258   Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 19, 2019 339   Mount St. Mary's W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 21, 2019 296   @ Sacred Heart L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 24, 2019 216   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 26, 2019 282   @ Robert Morris L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 31, 2019 340   Bryant W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 02, 2019 236   LIU Brooklyn W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 07, 2019 281   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 09, 2019 236   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 14, 2019 264   Central Connecticut St. W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 16, 2019 339   @ Mount St. Mary's W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 21, 2019 340   @ Bryant W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 23, 2019 258   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 28, 2019 216   St. Francis (PA) W 74-73 52%    
  Mar 02, 2019 282   Robert Morris W 69-65 64%    
Projected Record 12.7 - 14.3 10.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 4.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 15.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 4.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.8 3.6 0.8 0.1 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.2 6.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.4 3.6 0.5 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.5 0.6 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.4 5.6 8.1 10.3 12.1 13.0 12.6 11.2 8.7 6.1 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 99.1% 1.6    1.5 0.1
15-3 92.4% 3.2    2.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 74.7% 4.5    3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 43.7% 3.8    1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
12-6 14.0% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.8% 48.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 43.3% 43.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.6% 38.7% 38.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.0
15-3 3.5% 32.9% 32.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 2.4
14-4 6.1% 26.8% 26.8% 15.6 0.0 0.6 1.0 4.4
13-5 8.7% 22.9% 22.9% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 6.7
12-6 11.2% 17.6% 17.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 9.2
11-7 12.6% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 10.9
10-8 13.0% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.8
9-9 12.1% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.2
8-10 10.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.6 9.7
7-11 8.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.8
6-12 5.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.6
5-13 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 9.7 87.6 0.0%