Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
114 Northern Kentucky 100.0%   15   24 - 8 13 - 5 24 - 8 13 - 5 +4.0      +3.3 87 +0.6 148 69.6 148 +4.2 114 +1.8 2
132 Wright St. 0.0%   19 - 13 13 - 5 19 - 13 13 - 5 +2.5      +0.8 153 +1.7 122 64.2 299 +0.8 155 +2.0 1
187 Oakland 0.0%   15 - 17 11 - 7 15 - 17 11 - 7 -1.5      +1.6 131 -3.2 260 70.5 131 -2.5 200 -0.5 3
207 IUPUI 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -2.6      -0.7 194 -2.0 230 71.1 118 -3.4 213 -4.5 8
208 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -2.6      -2.9 257 +0.3 160 73.9 65 -2.5 198 -1.8 5
218 Green Bay 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -3.2      -1.1 207 -2.1 232 82.3 9 -1.0 180 -1.7 4
255 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 10 11 - 20 8 - 10 -5.5      +0.9 149 -6.4 330 70.9 121 -4.1 226 -4.2 7
266 Youngstown St. 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 10 10 - 20 8 - 10 -6.1      -0.2 181 -6.0 325 68.1 194 -5.9 261 -4.1 6
289 Cleveland St. 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -7.2      -1.9 233 -5.3 307 71.9 96 -8.0 292 -8.4 9
296 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 14 8 - 22 4 - 14 -8.0      -4.3 289 -3.7 267 66.1 250 -8.5 301 -10.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northern Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
IUPUI 6.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 4.0 100.0
Green Bay 4.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 6.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 9.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northern Kentucky 13 - 5 100.0
Wright St. 13 - 5 100.0
Oakland 11 - 7 100.0
IUPUI 8 - 10 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 10 - 8 100.0
Green Bay 10 - 8 100.0
Detroit Mercy 8 - 10 100.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 10 100.0
Cleveland St. 5 - 13 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Oakland
IUPUI
Illinois-Chicago
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy
Youngstown St.
Cleveland St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.3 32.6 67.0 0.0
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.6% 0.1 92.4 7.6
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0