Pre-tourney Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#187
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#200
Pace70.5#131
Improvement+4.8#20

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#131
First Shot+3.2#88
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#283
Layup/Dunks-2.7#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#19
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement-5.4#342

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#260
First Shot-2.1#233
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#283
Layups/Dunks-3.3#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#87
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+10.2#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 33.0 - 8.03.0 - 14.0
Quad 412.0 - 3.015.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 68   Toledo L 86-87 27%     0 - 1 +3.8 +19.4 -15.7
  Nov 13, 2018 245   Western Michigan L 77-85 OT 73%     0 - 2 -15.9 -8.2 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2018 156   @ UNLV L 61-74 32%     0 - 3 -9.7 -7.2 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2018 267   James Madison W 77-69 76%     1 - 3 -1.0 +8.0 -8.0
  Nov 24, 2018 286   Oral Roberts W 87-76 78%     2 - 3 +1.2 +11.0 -9.2
  Nov 25, 2018 135   Northern Illinois L 72-92 46%     2 - 4 -20.4 +6.9 -29.9
  Dec 01, 2018 60   @ Xavier L 63-73 13%     2 - 5 +0.9 +1.9 -2.2
  Dec 06, 2018 291   @ Fairfield W 87-86 62%     3 - 5 -3.8 +11.0 -14.8
  Dec 08, 2018 83   @ Northeastern L 83-92 17%     3 - 6 -0.3 +9.4 -9.4
  Dec 16, 2018 193   @ Hartford L 82-87 41%     3 - 7 -4.2 +14.2 -18.9
  Dec 18, 2018 115   @ Georgia L 69-81 22%     3 - 8 -5.3 -5.0 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 69-99 2%     3 - 9 -5.8 +6.1 -11.6
  Dec 28, 2018 289   @ Cleveland St. W 89-77 61%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +7.5 +7.4 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2018 266   @ Youngstown St. W 76-74 57%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -1.4 +0.9 -2.2
  Jan 03, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky W 76-74 40%     6 - 9 3 - 0 +3.2 +5.7 -2.5
  Jan 05, 2019 132   Wright St. L 73-89 45%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -16.2 -0.9 -15.1
  Jan 10, 2019 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64-67 81%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -13.8 -5.5 -8.7
  Jan 12, 2019 218   Green Bay W 90-78 67%     7 - 11 4 - 2 +6.1 +9.7 -4.2
  Jan 19, 2019 255   @ Detroit Mercy W 79-73 55%     8 - 11 5 - 2 +3.3 -1.4 +4.5
  Jan 24, 2019 207   @ IUPUI L 71-73 43%     8 - 12 5 - 3 -1.9 -6.8 +5.0
  Jan 26, 2019 208   @ Illinois-Chicago W 80-67 43%     9 - 12 6 - 3 +13.1 +6.1 +6.6
  Jan 31, 2019 266   Youngstown St. L 74-75 76%     9 - 13 6 - 4 -9.9 -3.8 -6.2
  Feb 02, 2019 289   Cleveland St. W 83-68 79%     10 - 13 7 - 4 +5.0 +10.4 -4.1
  Feb 07, 2019 132   @ Wright St. L 62-76 26%     10 - 14 7 - 5 -8.7 -9.8 +1.6
  Feb 09, 2019 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-79 22%     10 - 15 7 - 6 -8.3 -7.2 -1.0
  Feb 14, 2019 218   @ Green Bay L 54-66 46%     10 - 16 7 - 7 -12.4 -24.6 +13.4
  Feb 16, 2019 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 89-73 64%     11 - 16 8 - 7 +10.8 +11.1 -0.9
  Feb 23, 2019 255   Detroit Mercy W 95-75 74%     12 - 16 9 - 7 +11.7 +15.1 -3.2
  Feb 28, 2019 208   Illinois-Chicago W 86-72 65%     13 - 16 10 - 7 +8.6 -0.1 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2019 207   IUPUI W 72-63 65%     14 - 16 11 - 7 +3.6 +1.1 +3.2
  Mar 06, 2019 266   Youngstown St. W 88-84 76%     15 - 16 -4.9 +0.8 -6.1
  Mar 11, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky L 63-64 30%     15 - 17 +3.0 -11.2 +14.2
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%