Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#40
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#45
Pace64.4#292
Improvement+3.8#43

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#26
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#2
Layup/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+5.7#9

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#69
First Shot+3.3#78
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#84
Layups/Dunks+7.1#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
Freethrows-0.4#210
Improvement-1.9#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round95.7% n/a n/a
Second Round47.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 5.03.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 4.04.0 - 9.0
Quad 28.0 - 1.012.0 - 10.0
Quad 32.0 - 1.014.0 - 11.0
Quad 45.0 - 2.019.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 238   Texas Southern L 69-72 95%     0 - 1 -10.2 -8.2 -2.0
  Nov 10, 2018 336   Southern W 80-53 99%     1 - 1 +10.6 +2.5 +8.9
  Nov 12, 2018 234   Prairie View W 91-80 94%     2 - 1 +4.0 +12.7 -9.0
  Nov 16, 2018 306   Nicholls St. W 81-54 97%     3 - 1 +15.2 +7.2 +9.9
  Nov 23, 2018 41   Mississippi L 70-78 51%     3 - 2 +2.8 -2.9 +6.2
  Nov 24, 2018 155   George Mason W 72-61 84%     4 - 2 +11.6 -1.4 +12.8
  Nov 27, 2018 226   South Dakota W 63-57 94%     5 - 2 -0.4 -5.8 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2018 88   @ Wichita St. L 63-71 60%     5 - 3 +0.5 -6.0 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2018 98   @ Arizona W 58-49 62%     6 - 3 +16.9 -1.1 +19.3
  Dec 18, 2018 302   Stephen F. Austin L 58-59 97%     6 - 4 -12.3 -18.3 +6.0
  Dec 21, 2018 43   Oregon W 57-47 62%     7 - 4 +17.9 +1.4 +18.3
  Dec 29, 2018 253   New Orleans W 84-44 95%     8 - 4 +31.8 +7.7 +23.3
  Jan 05, 2019 47   @ TCU L 81-85 42%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +9.2 +13.7 -4.3
  Jan 08, 2019 16   Iowa St. W 73-70 45%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +15.4 +8.9 +6.7
  Jan 12, 2019 17   Kansas L 68-73 45%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +7.3 +4.1 +3.0
  Jan 14, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. W 73-69 58%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +13.0 +12.7 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 9   Texas Tech W 73-62 33%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +26.5 +16.7 +10.7
  Jan 21, 2019 82   @ West Virginia W 85-73 59%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +20.7 +10.0 +9.9
  Jan 26, 2019 55   Alabama W 73-68 68%     13 - 6 +11.1 +11.6 +0.0
  Jan 28, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma W 77-47 38%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +44.3 +16.2 +29.4
  Feb 02, 2019 47   TCU W 90-64 63%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +33.7 +32.5 +4.4
  Feb 06, 2019 30   @ Texas L 72-84 34%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +3.3 +8.9 -6.2
  Feb 09, 2019 21   Kansas St. L 63-70 47%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +4.8 +10.9 -7.4
  Feb 11, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 59-53 59%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +14.7 +4.4 +11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 61-86 17%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -4.0 +4.8 -10.2
  Feb 19, 2019 16   @ Iowa St. W 73-69 25%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +22.0 +16.0 +6.5
  Feb 23, 2019 82   West Virginia W 82-75 77%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +10.2 +11.2 -0.9
  Feb 27, 2019 30   Texas W 84-83 OT 55%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +10.7 +17.8 -7.0
  Mar 02, 2019 21   @ Kansas St. L 60-66 27%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +11.3 +3.5 +7.4
  Mar 06, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. L 64-67 77%     19 - 11 10 - 7 +0.4 -9.1 +9.6
  Mar 09, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 70-78 26%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +9.8 +4.2 +6.0
  Mar 14, 2019 16   Iowa St. L 66-83 34%     19 - 13 -1.8 +5.0 -8.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 95.8% 95.8% 8.4 0.1 11.2 44.9 29.5 9.5 0.6 4.2 95.8%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.8% 0.0% 95.8% 8.4 0.1 11.2 44.9 29.5 9.5 0.6 4.2 95.8%