Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#43
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#60
Pace62.3#328
Improvement+2.2#92

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#111
First Shot+1.5#136
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#92
Layup/Dunks+2.4#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement-0.8#227

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#18
First Shot+6.6#24
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#41
Layups/Dunks+2.0#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#133
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement+3.0#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round36.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 3.03.0 - 5.0
Quad 24.0 - 4.07.0 - 9.0
Quad 38.0 - 2.015.0 - 11.0
Quad 48.0 - 1.023.0 - 12.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 275   Portland St. W 84-57 96%     1 - 0 +17.6 +6.7 +11.6
  Nov 09, 2018 227   Eastern Washington W 81-47 94%     2 - 0 +27.5 +11.1 +19.1
  Nov 15, 2018 36   Iowa L 69-77 47%     2 - 1 +3.3 -2.3 +5.7
  Nov 16, 2018 33   Syracuse W 80-65 46%     3 - 1 +26.7 +14.0 +12.7
  Nov 20, 2018 218   Green Bay W 83-72 93%     4 - 1 +5.1 +1.0 +3.3
  Nov 26, 2018 238   Texas Southern L 84-89 94%     4 - 2 -12.2 -3.8 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 15   @ Houston L 61-65 22%     4 - 3 +14.6 +0.1 +14.3
  Dec 08, 2018 162   Nebraska Omaha W 84-61 89%     5 - 3 +20.1 +19.8 +4.1
  Dec 12, 2018 96   San Diego W 65-55 78%     6 - 3 +12.4 +2.5 +11.1
  Dec 15, 2018 131   Boise St. W 66-54 84%     7 - 3 +11.9 +1.6 +12.0
  Dec 18, 2018 323   Florida A&M W 71-64 98%     8 - 3 -6.7 +1.6 -7.8
  Dec 21, 2018 40   @ Baylor L 47-57 38%     8 - 4 +3.8 -11.7 +13.6
  Dec 29, 2018 131   @ Boise St. W 62-50 69%     9 - 4 +17.4 -3.6 +22.1
  Jan 05, 2019 85   Oregon St. L 72-77 76%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.9 -5.6 +4.0
  Jan 10, 2019 108   UCLA L 84-87 OT 80%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -1.3 -1.6 +0.8
  Jan 13, 2019 84   USC W 81-60 76%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +24.1 +14.8 +10.9
  Jan 17, 2019 98   @ Arizona W 59-54 61%     11 - 6 2 - 2 +12.9 -1.6 +15.0
  Jan 19, 2019 59   @ Arizona St. L 64-78 48%     11 - 7 2 - 3 -2.9 -0.2 -3.5
  Jan 24, 2019 51   Washington L 56-61 65%     11 - 8 2 - 4 +1.8 -3.8 +5.0
  Jan 27, 2019 205   Washington St. W 78-58 92%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +14.6 +12.2 +5.6
  Jan 31, 2019 99   @ Utah W 78-72 62%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +13.6 +6.5 +7.4
  Feb 02, 2019 65   @ Colorado L 51-73 51%     13 - 9 4 - 5 -11.5 -14.9 +3.6
  Feb 06, 2019 231   California W 73-62 94%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +4.2 +1.6 +3.5
  Feb 10, 2019 103   Stanford W 69-46 80%     15 - 9 6 - 5 +24.9 +3.9 +22.4
  Feb 16, 2019 85   @ Oregon St. L 57-72 58%     15 - 10 6 - 6 -6.3 -8.8 +1.2
  Feb 21, 2019 84   @ USC L 49-66 58%     15 - 11 6 - 7 -8.3 -13.0 +2.1
  Feb 23, 2019 108   @ UCLA L 83-90 63%     15 - 12 6 - 8 +0.3 +23.6 -24.3
  Feb 28, 2019 59   Arizona St. W 79-51 69%     16 - 12 7 - 8 +33.5 +10.5 +23.6
  Mar 02, 2019 98   Arizona W 73-47 79%     17 - 12 8 - 8 +28.3 +8.8 +21.6
  Mar 06, 2019 205   @ Washington St. W 72-61 84%     18 - 12 9 - 8 +11.2 +0.0 +11.7
  Mar 09, 2019 51   @ Washington W 55-47 43%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +20.4 -4.2 +25.3
  Mar 13, 2019 205   Washington St. W 84-51 89%     20 - 12 +30.4 +8.1 +22.7
  Mar 14, 2019 99   Utah W 66-54 71%     21 - 12 +16.9 -1.1 +19.5
  Mar 15, 2019 59   Arizona St. W 79-75 OT 59%     22 - 12 +12.3 +8.4 +3.8
  Mar 16, 2019 51   Washington W 68-48 54%     23 - 12 +29.6 +13.5 +19.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.1 0.2 1.6 16.3 53.3 28.6 0.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.1 0.2 1.6 16.3 53.3 28.6 0.0