Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#86
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#70
Pace63.3#318
Improvement-1.5#259

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#104
First Shot+5.8#30
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#348
Layup/Dunks+0.6#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#16
Freethrows-0.3#209
Improvement-0.2#197

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#87
First Shot+3.2#80
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks+4.1#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#251
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-1.3#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.6% n/a n/a
First Round0.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 25.0 - 2.05.0 - 4.0
Quad 37.0 - 5.012.0 - 9.0
Quad 411.0 - 0.023.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 289   Cleveland St. W 83-63 92%     1 - 0 +10.0 +4.6 +5.7
  Nov 09, 2018 221   Dartmouth W 79-76 87%     2 - 0 -3.2 +5.7 -8.8
  Nov 15, 2018 88   Wichita St. W 57-53 51%     3 - 0 +9.7 -9.4 +19.3
  Nov 16, 2018 10   Purdue L 58-79 14%     3 - 1 -3.3 -3.7 -1.4
  Nov 18, 2018 83   Northeastern W 71-59 50%     4 - 1 +17.9 +2.0 +16.4
  Nov 24, 2018 83   Northeastern W 78-69 60%     5 - 1 +12.2 +4.7 +7.5
  Nov 27, 2018 287   Charlotte W 76-56 92%     6 - 1 +10.1 +9.1 +3.4
  Dec 01, 2018 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 91-85 81%     7 - 1 +2.8 +13.0 -10.2
  Dec 04, 2018 190   Winthrop W 99-81 84%     8 - 1 +13.4 +8.7 +2.3
  Dec 15, 2018 70   Temple L 75-77 OT 45%     8 - 2 +5.1 +2.7 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2018 153   @ Wake Forest L 63-67 59%     8 - 3 -0.3 -2.8 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2018 4   @ North Carolina L 60-82 5%     8 - 4 +2.3 -7.2 +11.5
  Jan 05, 2019 160   Duquesne W 65-61 80%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +1.1 -3.6 +5.1
  Jan 09, 2019 155   @ George Mason W 61-56 60%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +8.4 -9.5 +17.9
  Jan 12, 2019 44   Virginia Commonwealth W 64-57 42%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +14.9 +4.1 +11.2
  Jan 15, 2019 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 60-61 65%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +1.0 -6.6 +7.5
  Jan 19, 2019 184   Richmond W 75-62 83%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +8.8 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 23, 2019 270   George Washington W 73-62 91%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +1.9 -1.8 +3.7
  Jan 26, 2019 102   @ Saint Louis W 54-53 44%     14 - 5 6 - 1 +8.5 +0.3 +8.4
  Feb 01, 2019 119   @ St. Bonaventure W 75-66 48%     15 - 5 7 - 1 +15.4 +18.4 -1.8
  Feb 06, 2019 133   Rhode Island W 68-53 73%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +14.7 +6.1 +10.8
  Feb 09, 2019 225   @ Massachusetts L 51-54 74%     16 - 6 8 - 2 -3.8 -8.7 +4.0
  Feb 12, 2019 244   @ Fordham W 79-69 78%     17 - 6 9 - 2 +7.7 +12.3 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2019 174   Saint Joseph's W 80-72 81%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +4.5 +6.0 -1.4
  Feb 19, 2019 63   Dayton L 73-74 54%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +4.0 +5.9 -2.0
  Feb 22, 2019 133   @ Rhode Island W 75-66 53%     19 - 7 11 - 3 +14.2 +7.7 +6.7
  Feb 27, 2019 216   @ La Salle L 69-79 72%     19 - 8 11 - 4 -10.2 +7.2 -18.9
  Mar 02, 2019 244   Fordham W 77-52 89%     20 - 8 12 - 4 +17.2 +9.6 +9.7
  Mar 06, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure W 64-46 69%     21 - 8 13 - 4 +18.8 +6.1 +15.9
  Mar 09, 2019 184   @ Richmond W 73-69 67%     22 - 8 14 - 4 +5.3 +2.4 +3.2
  Mar 15, 2019 174   Saint Joseph's W 70-60 74%     23 - 8 +9.2 -4.1 +13.4
  Mar 16, 2019 102   Saint Louis L 44-67 55%     23 - 9 -18.3 -14.0 -9.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 1.6% 1.6% 12.0 0.1 1.3 0.1 98.5 1.6%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 12.0 0.1 1.3 0.1 98.5 1.6%