Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.7#10
Expected Predictive Rating+16.6#16
Pace64.9#285
Improvement+2.3#86

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#6
First Shot+7.5#13
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#6
Layup/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#12
Freethrows+1.3#86
Improvement-0.9#231

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#33
First Shot+5.9#35
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#146
Layups/Dunks+3.5#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows+1.0#107
Improvement+3.2#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 5.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 90.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen59.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight25.6% n/a n/a
Final Four12.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.8% n/a n/a
National Champion2.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 6.02.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b5.0 - 1.07.0 - 7.0
Quad 29.0 - 1.016.0 - 8.0
Quad 33.0 - 1.019.0 - 9.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.023.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 291   Fairfield W 90-57 99%     1 - 0 +22.7 +17.3 +6.5
  Nov 10, 2018 134   Ball St. W 84-75 94%     2 - 0 +8.6 +11.8 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2018 201   Appalachian St. W 92-70 96%     3 - 0 +19.5 +13.5 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2018 86   Davidson W 79-58 86%     4 - 0 +26.9 +16.2 +12.5
  Nov 18, 2018 12   Virginia Tech L 83-89 55%     4 - 1 +10.4 +17.8 -7.5
  Nov 23, 2018 274   Robert Morris W 84-46 99%     5 - 1 +28.8 +12.6 +17.4
  Nov 28, 2018 13   @ Florida St. L 72-73 44%     5 - 2 +18.1 +7.4 +10.8
  Dec 01, 2018 6   @ Michigan L 57-76 32%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +3.7 +4.8 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2018 23   Maryland W 62-60 73%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +13.2 +0.2 +13.2
  Dec 09, 2018 30   @ Texas L 68-72 59%     6 - 4 +11.3 +6.6 +4.4
  Dec 15, 2018 77   Notre Dame L 80-88 86%     6 - 5 -1.8 +9.5 -11.2
  Dec 20, 2018 179   Ohio W 95-67 97%     7 - 5 +24.2 +22.1 +1.8
  Dec 29, 2018 54   Belmont W 73-62 86%     8 - 5 +17.2 +2.4 +15.1
  Jan 03, 2019 36   Iowa W 86-70 81%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +24.5 +18.6 +6.9
  Jan 08, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. L 59-77 27%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +6.2 +2.7 +1.8
  Jan 11, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin W 84-80 OT 46%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +22.7 +21.1 +1.5
  Jan 15, 2019 74   Rutgers W 89-54 89%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +39.0 +24.4 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2019 39   Indiana W 70-55 81%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +23.3 +9.3 +15.5
  Jan 23, 2019 46   @ Ohio St. W 79-67 66%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +25.4 +17.5 +8.4
  Jan 27, 2019 5   Michigan St. W 73-63 46%     14 - 6 7 - 2 +28.7 +13.5 +15.9
  Jan 31, 2019 42   @ Penn St. W 99-90 OT 66%     15 - 6 8 - 2 +22.5 +31.4 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2019 45   Minnesota W 73-63 82%     16 - 6 9 - 2 +17.9 +10.4 +8.2
  Feb 09, 2019 38   Nebraska W 81-62 81%     17 - 6 10 - 2 +27.3 +25.2 +5.2
  Feb 12, 2019 23   @ Maryland L 56-70 53%     17 - 7 10 - 3 +2.8 -3.8 +5.5
  Feb 16, 2019 42   Penn St. W 76-64 82%     18 - 7 11 - 3 +20.0 +6.4 +13.3
  Feb 19, 2019 39   @ Indiana W 48-46 65%     19 - 7 12 - 3 +15.9 -11.7 +27.8
  Feb 23, 2019 38   @ Nebraska W 75-72 64%     20 - 7 13 - 3 +16.9 +15.4 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2019 75   Illinois W 73-56 90%     21 - 7 14 - 3 +20.9 +11.3 +11.9
  Mar 02, 2019 46   Ohio St. W 86-51 82%     22 - 7 15 - 3 +42.8 +28.4 +18.5
  Mar 05, 2019 45   @ Minnesota L 69-73 66%     22 - 8 15 - 4 +9.4 +2.1 +7.4
  Mar 09, 2019 71   @ Northwestern W 70-57 77%     23 - 8 16 - 4 +22.8 +14.2 +10.1
  Mar 15, 2019 45   Minnesota L 73-75 75%     23 - 9 +8.6 +10.6 -2.1
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 16.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.8 4.7 36.3 48.9 9.0 0.4 100.0%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.8 4.7 36.3 48.9 9.0 0.4 100.0%