Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#298
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#294
Pace70.1#140
Improvement+5.4#11

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#262
First Shot-1.7#239
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#282
Layup/Dunks-6.0#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#24
Freethrows-2.4#317
Improvement+4.1#26

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#302
First Shot-5.3#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#135
Layups/Dunks-1.3#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#341
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement+1.3#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 31.0 - 8.01.0 - 14.0
Quad 48.0 - 7.09.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 316   @ Manhattan W 62-56 45%     1 - 0 -0.7 -5.8 +5.4
  Nov 09, 2018 4   North Carolina L 67-116 1%     1 - 1 -30.2 -8.7 -13.3
  Nov 22, 2018 157   Abilene Christian L 56-72 21%     1 - 2 -15.6 -0.9 -19.0
  Nov 23, 2018 312   UC Riverside L 64-77 54%     1 - 3 -22.2 -11.6 -11.2
  Nov 24, 2018 198   @ Pacific L 57-65 21%     1 - 4 -7.6 -16.7 +9.6
  Dec 01, 2018 240   Boston University L 58-65 47%     1 - 5 -14.3 -20.3 +5.9
  Dec 04, 2018 61   Furman L 77-98 11%     1 - 6 -15.7 +5.1 -20.0
  Dec 07, 2018 97   UNC Greensboro L 74-75 16%     1 - 7 +1.4 +1.7 -0.3
  Dec 16, 2018 268   Canisius L 91-92 54%     1 - 8 -10.0 +10.0 -20.0
  Dec 18, 2018 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-67 63%     2 - 8 -2.5 +0.2 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2018 233   @ UMKC L 59-95 26%     2 - 9 -37.3 -16.6 -19.5
  Dec 28, 2018 276   Towson L 60-77 55%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -26.4 -12.3 -15.8
  Dec 30, 2018 267   James Madison W 68-65 54%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -6.0 -3.6 -2.1
  Jan 03, 2019 247   @ Drexel L 65-79 29%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -16.4 -10.5 -6.3
  Jan 05, 2019 254   @ Delaware L 65-77 30%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -14.7 -4.7 -11.3
  Jan 10, 2019 83   Northeastern L 70-81 OT 15%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -7.8 -11.7 +5.2
  Jan 12, 2019 105   Hofstra L 71-74 18%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -1.2 -1.1 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2019 209   @ William & Mary W 76-71 22%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +5.1 +1.9 +3.2
  Jan 24, 2019 126   @ College of Charleston L 53-72 10%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -13.1 -15.0 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2019 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 89-82 32%     5 - 15 3 - 6 +3.8 +5.4 -2.0
  Jan 31, 2019 254   Delaware W 57-56 51%     6 - 15 4 - 6 -7.2 -15.3 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2019 247   Drexel L 63-67 50%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -12.0 -8.5 -4.0
  Feb 07, 2019 105   @ Hofstra L 61-102 8%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -33.6 -14.3 -19.1
  Feb 09, 2019 83   @ Northeastern L 60-72 OT 7%     6 - 18 4 - 9 -3.3 -15.1 +12.7
  Feb 16, 2019 209   William & Mary L 74-84 40%     6 - 19 4 - 10 -15.4 -7.6 -7.2
  Feb 21, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 84-77 53%     7 - 19 5 - 10 -1.8 -1.2 -0.9
  Feb 23, 2019 126   College of Charleston L 74-84 21%     7 - 20 5 - 11 -9.7 +8.6 -19.5
  Feb 28, 2019 267   @ James Madison W 73-58 33%     8 - 20 6 - 11 +11.5 +4.6 +8.5
  Mar 02, 2019 276   @ Towson W 86-66 34%     9 - 20 7 - 11 +16.1 +19.4 -1.2
  Mar 09, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington L 86-93 42%     9 - 21 -13.0 +1.7 -14.4
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%