Pre-tourney Rankings
Furman
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#61
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#64
Pace67.0#226
Improvement+2.5#80

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#93
First Shot+2.7#101
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#133
Layup/Dunks+3.0#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#23
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement+2.6#66

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#52
First Shot+4.5#55
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#128
Layups/Dunks+0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#64
Freethrows+1.9#48
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.7% n/a n/a
First Round5.9% n/a n/a
Second Round1.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 3.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 23.0 - 1.04.0 - 6.0
Quad 32.0 - 1.06.0 - 7.0
Quad 416.0 - 0.022.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 125   @ Loyola Chicago W 60-58 58%     1 - 0 +7.9 -10.4 +18.2
  Nov 13, 2018 183   Gardner-Webb W 88-86 OT 87%     2 - 0 -2.2 +2.3 -4.7
  Nov 17, 2018 24   @ Villanova W 76-68 OT 21%     3 - 0 +24.4 +3.9 +20.0
  Nov 25, 2018 347   @ UNC Asheville W 65-51 96%     4 - 0 +1.1 -5.4 +8.7
  Dec 01, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 90-88 2OT 94%     5 - 0 1 - 0 -7.7 -3.8 -4.3
  Dec 04, 2018 298   @ Elon W 98-77 89%     6 - 0 +15.7 +18.3 -3.3
  Dec 08, 2018 335   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-60 95%     7 - 0 +3.2 -3.1 +6.3
  Dec 11, 2018 176   Charleston Southern W 77-69 86%     8 - 0 +4.3 +3.2 +1.0
  Dec 15, 2018 263   UNC Wilmington W 93-50 93%     9 - 0 +34.2 +15.0 +20.6
  Dec 21, 2018 18   @ LSU L 57-75 18%     9 - 1 -0.2 -8.8 +8.3
  Dec 29, 2018 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 56-79 49%     9 - 2 1 - 1 -14.6 -5.8 -11.6
  Jan 03, 2019 203   Mercer W 71-58 89%     10 - 2 2 - 1 +7.6 -2.6 +10.7
  Jan 05, 2019 278   The Citadel W 101-85 94%     11 - 2 3 - 1 +6.5 +3.6 +0.4
  Jan 10, 2019 295   @ VMI W 89-57 89%     12 - 2 4 - 1 +26.9 +2.3 +21.2
  Jan 12, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 79-89 51%     12 - 3 4 - 2 -2.1 +10.7 -12.6
  Jan 19, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 54-59 22%     12 - 4 4 - 3 +11.2 -6.5 +17.1
  Jan 24, 2019 265   Chattanooga W 73-58 93%     13 - 4 5 - 3 +6.1 +6.3 +2.1
  Jan 26, 2019 159   Samford L 73-75 84%     13 - 5 5 - 4 -4.6 -4.2 -0.3
  Jan 31, 2019 278   @ The Citadel W 71-61 87%     14 - 5 6 - 4 +6.1 -7.8 +13.9
  Feb 02, 2019 203   @ Mercer W 74-63 77%     15 - 5 7 - 4 +11.2 +8.0 +4.3
  Feb 07, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 64-45 87%     16 - 5 8 - 4 +14.9 -10.5 +25.9
  Feb 09, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. W 91-61 69%     17 - 5 9 - 4 +32.9 +27.2 +8.2
  Feb 14, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro W 67-57 71%     18 - 5 10 - 4 +12.4 -1.2 +13.9
  Feb 16, 2019 295   VMI W 96-62 95%     19 - 5 11 - 4 +23.3 +12.5 +9.6
  Feb 23, 2019 25   Wofford L 64-72 40%     19 - 6 11 - 5 +2.7 +2.3 -0.7
  Feb 28, 2019 159   @ Samford W 90-81 69%     20 - 6 12 - 5 +12.0 +16.6 -4.7
  Mar 02, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga W 71-50 86%     21 - 6 13 - 5 +17.7 +1.4 +17.9
  Mar 09, 2019 203   Mercer W 85-74 84%     22 - 6 +8.4 +10.8 -2.3
  Mar 10, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 62-66 61%     22 - 7 +1.2 +2.1 -1.5
Projected Record 22.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 12.9% 12.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 0.4 87.1 12.9%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.9% 0.0% 12.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 0.4 87.1 12.9%