Pre-tourney Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#183
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#149
Pace68.0#205
Improvement+1.1#139

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#124
First Shot+4.5#50
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#341
Layup/Dunks+5.0#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#203
Freethrows+1.9#51
Improvement+1.0#129

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#261
First Shot+0.2#168
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#353
Layups/Dunks+0.9#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#258
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.1#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round1.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 21.0 - 0.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 33.0 - 6.04.0 - 9.0
Quad 416.0 - 2.020.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-69 9%     0 - 1 +1.4 -4.2 +5.7
  Nov 09, 2018 12   @ Virginia Tech L 59-87 4%     0 - 2 -8.9 -13.3 +8.1
  Nov 13, 2018 61   @ Furman L 86-88 OT 13%     0 - 3 +8.8 +11.4 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2018 346   @ Savannah St. W 97-77 85%     1 - 3 +7.3 +6.8 -1.6
  Nov 23, 2018 313   Eastern Illinois L 78-79 77%     1 - 4 -10.3 +5.8 -16.2
  Nov 24, 2018 263   UNC Wilmington W 81-72 67%     2 - 4 +3.0 -1.1 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2018 248   Arkansas St. L 69-77 65%     2 - 5 -13.3 -4.2 -9.6
  Nov 28, 2018 335   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-61 81%     3 - 5 +2.2 +4.9 -1.3
  Dec 01, 2018 346   Savannah St. W 97-60 93%     4 - 5 +18.7 +6.0 +9.7
  Dec 13, 2018 340   Kennesaw St. W 81-77 OT 92%     5 - 5 -13.1 -1.5 -11.7
  Dec 17, 2018 100   @ Georgia Tech W 79-69 20%     6 - 5 +17.6 +14.4 +3.4
  Dec 29, 2018 153   @ Wake Forest W 73-69 31%     7 - 5 +7.7 -4.5 +11.9
  Jan 05, 2019 196   @ Campbell L 61-72 42%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -10.4 -11.4 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2019 335   South Carolina Upstate W 64-59 91%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -11.3 -11.2 +0.2
  Jan 17, 2019 139   @ Radford L 58-75 27%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -12.2 -2.6 -13.0
  Jan 19, 2019 206   Hampton W 87-74 OT 65%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +7.6 -2.8 +8.7
  Jan 24, 2019 190   @ Winthrop L 88-97 41%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -8.0 +4.8 -11.8
  Jan 26, 2019 176   @ Charleston Southern L 60-74 37%     9 - 9 2 - 4 -12.1 -10.1 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2019 236   High Point W 69-67 71%     10 - 9 3 - 4 -5.1 -1.7 -3.3
  Feb 02, 2019 347   UNC Asheville W 82-81 OT 93%     11 - 9 4 - 4 -17.4 +4.9 -22.3
  Feb 07, 2019 292   @ Longwood W 89-88 OT 64%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -4.0 +5.5 -9.6
  Feb 09, 2019 199   @ Presbyterian L 101-103 OT 43%     12 - 10 5 - 5 -1.6 +7.7 -9.0
  Feb 13, 2019 176   Charleston Southern W 77-74 59%     13 - 10 6 - 5 -0.7 +4.1 -4.7
  Feb 16, 2019 190   Winthrop W 64-60 62%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -0.6 -13.1 +12.5
  Feb 21, 2019 347   @ UNC Asheville W 65-55 86%     15 - 10 8 - 5 -2.9 -8.4 +6.6
  Feb 23, 2019 236   @ High Point L 79-87 51%     15 - 11 8 - 6 -9.6 +16.2 -26.7
  Feb 27, 2019 199   Presbyterian W 78-70 64%     16 - 11 9 - 6 +2.8 -0.8 +3.7
  Mar 02, 2019 292   Longwood W 66-47 81%     17 - 11 10 - 6 +8.4 -10.3 +18.8
  Mar 07, 2019 236   High Point W 75-69 61%     18 - 11 +1.6 +6.6 -4.6
  Mar 08, 2019 196   @ Campbell W 79-74 42%     19 - 11 +5.6 +17.7 -11.2
  Mar 10, 2019 139   @ Radford W 76-65 27%     20 - 11 +15.8 +16.1 +1.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.7 0.0 27.9 72.1
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 27.9 72.1