Liberty
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#95
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#72
Pace56.4#352
Improvement-4.8#332

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#121
First Shot+3.4#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#284
Layup/Dunks+3.4#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#111
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#80
First Shot-0.1#169
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#1
Layups/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
Freethrows+1.2#96
Improvement-4.7#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round19.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 33 - 14 - 2
Quad 424 - 228 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 186   Radford W 66-60 81%     1 - 0 +1.9 -2.2 +4.9
  Nov 10, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-55 99%     2 - 0 -10.6 -0.2 -8.5
  Nov 12, 2019 339   South Carolina St. W 65-39 96%     3 - 0 +10.5 -9.8 +23.4
  Nov 16, 2019 202   @ East Carolina W 77-57 66%     4 - 0 +20.9 +15.7 +7.9
  Nov 19, 2019 253   Navy W 55-48 89%     5 - 0 -1.4 -9.5 +9.6
  Nov 22, 2019 322   Morgan St. W 89-48 92%     6 - 0 +30.7 +13.2 +17.8
  Nov 23, 2019 203   Rice W 71-59 76%     7 - 0 +9.8 -3.3 +13.7
  Nov 24, 2019 231   UMKC W 62-49 81%     8 - 0 +9.1 -0.9 +12.2
  Dec 08, 2019 250   Grand Canyon W 70-61 84%     9 - 0 +3.7 -1.2 +5.9
  Dec 14, 2019 151   @ Vanderbilt W 61-56 54%     10 - 0 +9.2 -6.0 +15.6
  Dec 20, 2019 165   Towson W 66-54 68%     11 - 0 +12.4 -1.2 +15.0
  Dec 21, 2019 90   Akron W 80-67 48%     12 - 0 +18.9 +18.9 +1.5
  Dec 29, 2019 36   @ LSU L 57-74 20%     12 - 1 -2.7 -5.5 +0.2
  Jan 02, 2020 298   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 59-46 83%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +8.2 +1.2 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2020 288   @ NJIT W 65-38 82%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +22.7 -0.1 +26.2
  Jan 09, 2020 283   North Alabama W 63-52 91%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +1.2 -7.0 +9.3
  Jan 11, 2020 246   Jacksonville W 54-37 89%     16 - 1 4 - 0 +9.2 -7.7 +21.0
  Jan 18, 2020 236   Lipscomb W 67-60 88%     17 - 1 5 - 0 -0.3 -1.1 +1.8
  Jan 23, 2020 164   @ North Florida L 70-71 57%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +2.4 +1.3 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2020 285   @ Stetson L 43-48 81%     17 - 3 5 - 2 -8.9 -19.3 +8.9
  Jan 30, 2020 351   Kennesaw St. W 83-45 99%     18 - 3 6 - 2 +15.9 +20.7 +3.6
  Feb 01, 2020 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 61-46 92%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +4.2 +1.2 +6.7
  Feb 06, 2020 246   @ Jacksonville W 71-62 75%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +7.2 +7.8 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2020 283   @ North Alabama W 74-56 81%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +14.2 +2.5 +12.2
  Feb 15, 2020 288   NJIT W 62-49 92%     22 - 3 10 - 2 +2.7 -5.0 +9.7
  Feb 20, 2020 164   North Florida W 82-77 77%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +2.4 +10.9 -7.9
  Feb 22, 2020 285   Stetson W 77-49 92%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +18.1 +8.6 +13.1
  Feb 27, 2020 351   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-52 97%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +7.9 +14.6 -1.5
  Feb 29, 2020 236   @ Lipscomb L 71-77 73%     25 - 4 13 - 3 -7.2 +2.5 -10.2
  Mar 03, 2020 288   NJIT W 55-49 92%     26 - 4 -4.3 -13.7 +10.3
  Mar 05, 2020 285   Stetson W 66-62 92%     27 - 4 -5.9 +3.9 -8.9
  Mar 08, 2020 236   Lipscomb W 73-57 88%     28 - 4 +8.7 +5.2 +5.7
Projected Record 28 - 4 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 29.2 55.3 15.3 0.2
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.9 29.2 55.3 15.3 0.2